SGER: Evacuation and Vulnerability in Mexico

Aguirre教授的NSF提案#0129752.Aguirre。这笔探索性研究小额赠款被授予特拉华大学灾害研究中心，用于墨西哥韦拉克鲁斯和普埃布拉的项目，该项目与墨西哥城CIESAS的Jesus Manuel Macias博士合作。该项目的目的是更好地理解：(1)1999年发生在墨西哥两个州的大范围洪水的社会反应；(2)洪水发生时的预警和疏散系统；(3)灾害社会科学中关于预警和疏散的经验概括在多大程度上适用于发展中国家。本项目采用多种方法对这些问题进行调查：(1)对1999年水灾影响的城市随机抽取的居民进行社区调查；(2)对报纸、机构报道和其他有关社会反应的文本信息进行内容分析；(3)扩大实地工作，对受害者和官员进行观察和密集访谈；(4)利用关键线人确定1945年后社区脆弱性的近期变化。

Abstract for Prof Aguirre's NSF Proposal #0129752.Aguirre. This Small Grant for Exploratory Research is being awarded to the Disaster Research Center at the University of Delaware for project in Veracruz and Puebla, Mexico, in collaboration with Dr. Jesus Manuel Macias of CIESAS, Mexico City. The objectives of the project are to better understand: (1) the societal reactions to the extensive flooding that occurred in the two Mexican states in 1999; (2) the systems of warnings and evacuations that took place during these floods; (3) the extent to which established empirical generalizations in the social science of disasters regarding warnings and evacuations are applicable in a developing country. The project uses multiple methodologies to investigate these issues: (1) community survey of randomly selected residents in cities impacted by the 1999 floods; (2) content analysis of newspapers, agency reports, and other textual information on the societal reaction; (3) extended field work employing observational and intensive interviews of victims and officials; (4) the use of key informants to ascertain recent, post 1945 changes in the vulnerability of the communities.