EPNES: Security of Supply & Strategic Learning in Restructured Power Markets

EPNES:供应安全

基本信息

  • 批准号:
    0224747
  • 负责人:
  • 金额:
    $ 30万
  • 依托单位:
  • 依托单位国家:
    美国
  • 项目类别:
    Standard Grant
  • 财政年份:
    2002
  • 资助国家:
    美国
  • 起止时间:
    2002-09-01 至 2006-08-31
  • 项目状态:
    已结题

项目摘要

In the first part of our proposal, we study the long run reliability (or security of supply) of electricity markets under price caps. This (and other forms or market intervention) cast doubts on the market ability to provide new capacity in a socially efficient manner (scale, technology and timing). We propose to develop a dynamic game model of investment. A full characterization of equilibrium investment will shed light on a number of contentious issues in the restructuring debate. Examples include; the possibility of "boom and bust" cycles in equilibrium, a potential technology bias with harmful effects on the environment, and the need to incorporate capacity markets.In the second part of our proposal we study learning algorithms as potentially powerful computational tools for electricity markets. The complexity of electricity markets calls for the incorporation of some form of bounded rationality in the modeling efforts. However, when players use simple, adaptive (possibly sub-optimal) rules, repeated interaction may induce equilibrium outcomes in the long run. Although, many "agent based" simulation models have been advocated for analyzing electricity markets, they lack solid theoretical support on issues such as convergence and/or the nature of equilibrium. In this proposal we will represent competition in electricity markets under certain congestion management protocols, as games with a special structure, i.e. "potential games'. For this class of games, the class of "fictitious play" learning algorithms has been proven to converge with probability one. Computational tests a large-scale model will serve to validate and assess the practicality of the class of strategic learning models proposed.
在我们的建议的第一部分中,我们研究了价格上限下的电力市场的长期可靠性(或供应的安全性)。这种做法(以及其他形式的市场干预)使人怀疑市场是否有能力以社会有效的方式(规模、技术和时机)提供新的能力。我们建议建立一个投资的动态博弈模型。对均衡投资的全面描述将有助于澄清重组辩论中的一些有争议的问题。例子包括;“繁荣和萧条”周期的可能性,在平衡,一个潜在的技术偏见与有害影响的环境,并需要纳入容量markets.In我们的建议的第二部分,我们研究学习算法作为潜在的强大的计算工具,电力市场。电力市场的复杂性要求在建模工作中引入某种形式的有限理性。然而,当参与者使用简单的,适应性(可能次优)的规则,重复的互动可能会导致长期的均衡结果。虽然,许多“代理为基础的”仿真模型已被提倡用于分析电力市场,他们缺乏坚实的理论支持的问题,如收敛和/或均衡的性质。在这个建议中,我们将代表竞争的电力市场下的某些拥塞管理协议,作为一个特殊的结构,即“潜在的游戏”的游戏。对于这类游戏,“虚拟游戏”学习算法已被证明以概率1收敛。大规模模型的计算测试将用于验证和评估所提出的策略学习模型的实用性。

项目成果

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Alfredo Garcia其他文献

Real-time Identification of the Emotional State in The Classroom to Improve the Teaching-learning Process
实时识别课堂情绪状态,改善教学过程
  • DOI:
  • 发表时间:
    2021
  • 期刊:
  • 影响因子:
    0
  • 作者:
    E. Flores;J. Livia;Alfredo Garcia;M. Dávila
  • 通讯作者:
    M. Dávila
DECREASED PROTEIN LEVELS OF GALECTIN-8 ARE ASSOCIATED WITH TUMOR PROGRESSION IN TRANSITIONAL CELL CARCINOMA
  • DOI:
    10.1016/s0022-5347(08)60923-4
  • 发表时间:
    2008-04-01
  • 期刊:
  • 影响因子:
  • 作者:
    Mario W Kramer;Markus A Kuczyk;Jorg Hennenlotter;Stephan Kruck;Alfredo Garcia;Arnulf Stenzl;Axel S Merseburger
  • 通讯作者:
    Axel S Merseburger
Aminofilina y fenoterol en niños con crisis asmática
氨基菲林和非诺特罗与哮喘危机
  • DOI:
    10.20453/rmh.v5i3.439
  • 发表时间:
    2013
  • 期刊:
  • 影响因子:
    0
  • 作者:
    Alva Segura;Silvia Romero;Antero Razuri;Alfredo Garcia;Claudia Ugarte;Rafael Whu;Pascual Chiarella;O. Zegarra
  • 通讯作者:
    O. Zegarra
Rinitis alérgica: Una antigua enfermedad a reevaluar.
Rinitis alérgica:Una antigua enfermedad 重新评估。
  • DOI:
  • 发表时间:
    2013
  • 期刊:
  • 影响因子:
    0
  • 作者:
    F. Ruiz;L. Vega;Ronald Vargas;Alfredo Garcia;Daniel Shion;Luis Caravedo;Pascual Chiarella
  • 通讯作者:
    Pascual Chiarella
Investment dynamics in electricity markets
  • DOI:
    10.1007/s00199-009-0508-3
  • 发表时间:
    2009-11-06
  • 期刊:
  • 影响因子:
    1.100
  • 作者:
    Alfredo Garcia;Ennio Stacchetti
  • 通讯作者:
    Ennio Stacchetti

Alfredo Garcia的其他文献

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{{ truncateString('Alfredo Garcia', 18)}}的其他基金

Collaborative Research: Consensus and Distributed Optimization in Non-Convex Environments with Applications to Networked Machine Learning
协作研究:非凸环境中的共识和分布式优化及其在网络机器学习中的应用
  • 批准号:
    2240789
  • 财政年份:
    2023
  • 资助金额:
    $ 30万
  • 项目类别:
    Standard Grant
Smart Markets for Black-box Capacity Allocation
黑匣子容量分配的智能市场
  • 批准号:
    1829552
  • 财政年份:
    2018
  • 资助金额:
    $ 30万
  • 项目类别:
    Standard Grant
Smart Markets for Black-box Capacity Allocation
黑匣子容量分配的智能市场
  • 批准号:
    1561381
  • 财政年份:
    2016
  • 资助金额:
    $ 30万
  • 项目类别:
    Standard Grant
I/UCRC: Collaborative Research: Unlocking Spectrum Efficiency for Future Wireless Networks
I/UCRC:合作研究:释放未来无线网络的频谱效率
  • 批准号:
    1230918
  • 财政年份:
    2012
  • 资助金额:
    $ 30万
  • 项目类别:
    Standard Grant
Collaborative Research: Unlocking Capacity for Wireless Networks Using Cooperative and Cognitive Techniques
协作研究:使用协作和认知技术释放无线网络的容量
  • 批准号:
    1032060
  • 财政年份:
    2010
  • 资助金额:
    $ 30万
  • 项目类别:
    Standard Grant
CIF: Small: Dynamic Pricing of Interference in Cognitive Radio Networks
CIF:小:认知无线电网络干扰的动态定价
  • 批准号:
    1017982
  • 财政年份:
    2010
  • 资助金额:
    $ 30万
  • 项目类别:
    Standard Grant
CT-ISG: The Economics of Internet Security: Theoretical and Empirical Analysis
CT-ISG:互联网安全经济学:理论与实证分析
  • 批准号:
    0627399
  • 财政年份:
    2007
  • 资助金额:
    $ 30万
  • 项目类别:
    Continuing Grant
Collaborative Research: Complex Networks Optimization
合作研究:复杂网络优化
  • 批准号:
    0217371
  • 财政年份:
    2002
  • 资助金额:
    $ 30万
  • 项目类别:
    Standard Grant

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开发高效的供应链管理工具以加强粮食安全的支柱
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