US-Niger Planning Visit: Building collaborations in regional climate prediction with the African Centre of Meteorological Applications for Development (ACMAD)

美国-尼日尔规划访问：与非洲气象应用发展中心 (ACMAD) 建立区域气候预测合作

• 批准号: 0534919
• 负责人: Leonard Druyan
• 金额: $ 1.6万
• 依托单位: Columbia University
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 项目类别: Standard Grant
• 财政年份: 2005
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 2005-09-01 至 2007-08-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://www.nsf.gov/awardsearch/showAward?AWD_ID=0534919&HistoricalAwards=false
• 关键词: US; Niger; Planning; Visit; Building

0534919 DruyanThis planning visit will enable researchers from the Columbia University Center for Climate Systems Research to build stronger collaborations with climate scientists at the African Centre of Meteorological Applications for Development (ACMAD) in Niamey, Niger. A climate simulation model suitable for tropical regions has been developed (with NSF support) at Columbia. Evaluations of the latest version of this model, the RM3, demonstrate its high potential for accurately predicting where and when precipitation occurs over West Africa. The first objective of this planning effort will be to install the RM3 model at ACMAD. Columbia University Associate Research Scientist, Dr. Matthew Fulakeza, will spend three weeks in Niamey working with his African counterparts to install the model and to troubleshoot RM3 simulations. Mr. Ali El Majdoub, ACMAD's Head of the Weather Watch and Prediction Department, will work with Fulakeza and provide relevant input and validation data for the trials. Once the RM3 is installed and working at ACMAD, the simulation products will be examined for their usefulness for daily weather forecasts and seasonal climate predictions. Evaluations of the seasonal climate predictions will provide valuable data for the international meteorological community, including U.S. scientists, who have been striving to perfect methods of seasonal climate prediction for West Africa. Having the RM3 working at ACMAD will also improve the quality of ACMAD's delivery of climate information to its 52- member African nations; improved prediction during the region's summer monsoon season could significantly contribute to the sustainable development of the region. The planning visit to Niger will be timed so that Fulakeza can report on the RM3/ACMAD collaborations at the First International Meeting of the African Monsoon Multidisciplinary Analysis (AMMA, a large international research program), to be held in Dakar, Senegal in late 2005.The collaboration will continue with a later visit by El Majdoub to Columbia University where he will be able to participate in further development of the model and in the evaluation of RM3 products. The collaboration will enable a contribution of American technology towards positive societal impacts in Africa, such as in agriculture and commerce, which are very sensitive to climatic events. The Columbia researchers will benefit from the opportunity to evaluate their model in an operational setting that includes practical applications. The collaboration will open a conduit of communication that will facilitate on-going and future exchanges of scientific know-how for the mutual benefit of both communities.

0534919 Druyan这次计划访问将使来自哥伦比亚大学气候系统研究中心的研究人员能够与位于尼日尔尼亚美的非洲气象应用促进发展中心（ACMAD）的气候科学家建立更强有力的合作。哥伦比亚大学（在国家科学基金会的支持下）开发了一个适用于热带地区的气候模拟模型。对该模型的最新版本RM 3的评估表明，它具有很高的潜力，可以准确预测西非降水发生的地点和时间。这项规划工作的第一个目标是在ACMAD安装RM 3模型。 哥伦比亚大学副研究科学家Matthew Fulakeza博士将在尼亚美与非洲同行一起工作三周，安装模型并排除RM 3模拟的故障。ACMAD的天气监测和预报部门负责人Ali El Majdoub先生将与Fulakeza合作，为试验提供相关的投入和验证数据。RM 3在ACMAD安装并运行后，将检查模拟产品对每日天气预报和季节气候预测的有用性。对季节气候预测的评估将为包括美国科学家在内的国际气象界提供有价值的数据，他们一直在努力完善西非季节气候预测的方法。让RM 3在ACMAD工作还将提高ACMAD向其52个非洲成员国提供气候信息的质量;改善该地区夏季季风季节的预测可以大大有助于该地区的可持续发展。对尼日尔的规划访问将安排在适当的时间，以便Fulakeza能够在第一次非洲季风多学科分析国际会议上报告RM 3/ACMAD合作情况（AMMA，一个大型国际研究计划），将在达喀尔举行，2005年底，El Majdoub将继续访问哥伦比亚大学，在那里他将能够参与进一步发展模型和RM 3产品的评估。这项合作将使美国技术能够对非洲的积极社会影响做出贡献，例如对气候事件非常敏感的农业和商业。哥伦比亚大学的研究人员将有机会在包括实际应用在内的操作环境中评估他们的模型。此次合作将开辟一条沟通渠道，促进正在进行的和未来的科学知识交流，以实现两个社区的互利。