Doctoral Dissertation Research: Terrorism and Counterterrorism: A Comparative Cross-National Analysis

博士论文研究：恐怖主义与反恐：跨国比较分析

• 批准号: 0926265
• 负责人: Michael Schwartz
• 金额: $ 0.81万
• 依托单位: SUNY at Stony Brook
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 项目类别: Standard Grant
• 财政年份: 2009
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 2009-09-01 至 2010-08-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://www.nsf.gov/awardsearch/showAward?AWD_ID=0926265&HistoricalAwards=false
• 关键词: Doctoral; Dissertation; Research; Terrorism; Counterterrorism

Why do different countries at different historical periods employ varying tactics in response to non-state terrorism and insurgency? This study explores empirically alternative explanations for this question during the last four decades. Using an integrative theoretical approach, it interlaces traditional actor-oriented international relations explanations that emphasize rational decision making and power relations with more sociological and cultural approaches, which emphasize ideas, norms, legitimacy and cultural toolkits. A two-step inquiry is conducted to explore these approaches. First, the relationship between terrorism and state response is examined through a series of quantitative regression analyses, combining pooled time-series cross-sectional analyses and event history analyses. Second, the research takes a more sensitive in-depth look at the same questions using a comparative historical investigation of three prominent ongoing terrorist campaigns in Turkey, Israel, and India. This project is the first to examine the determinants of states' counterterrorist policies applying a comprehensive theoretical framework to a variety of counterterrorist measures on a cross-national level. It provides insights into the processes of states' decision making and the various factors that influence policy makers and show that these are often affected by considerations that are not strictly utility-driven. In addition, the study has important public policy implications. It provides decision makers and security forces with important information about the effectiveness of various counterterrorist measures, equipping them with more efficient tools in their fight against domestic and international terrorism.

为什么在不同的历史时期，不同的国家对非国家恐怖主义和叛乱采取不同的策略？本研究探讨了在过去的四十年里，这个问题的经验替代解释。它采用综合理论方法，将强调理性决策和权力关系的传统行为者导向的国际关系解释与强调思想、规范、合法性和文化工具包的社会学和文化方法相结合。一个两步调查进行探索这些方法。首先，通过一系列定量回归分析，结合汇总的时间序列横截面分析和事件历史分析，研究恐怖主义和国家反应之间的关系。第二，该研究对同样的问题进行了更敏感的深入研究，对土耳其、以色列和印度三个突出的正在进行的恐怖活动进行了比较历史调查。这是第一个研究国家反恐政策的决定因素的项目，将一个全面的理论框架应用于跨国一级的各种反恐措施。它提供了对国家决策过程和影响政策制定者的各种因素的见解，并表明这些因素往往受到并非严格功利驱动的考虑因素的影响。此外，这项研究具有重要的公共政策意义。它为决策者和安全部队提供了关于各种反恐措施的有效性的重要信息，使他们在打击国内和国际恐怖主义的斗争中拥有更有效的工具。