Doctoral Dissertation Research: Terrorism and Counterterrorism: A Comparative Cross-National Analysis

为什么不同历史时期的不同国家对非国家恐怖主义和叛乱采取不同的策略？这项研究探索了过去40年来对这个问题的另一种经验解释。它使用综合的理论方法，将强调理性决策和权力关系的传统的以行动者为导向的国际关系解释与更多的社会学和文化方法相交错，后者强调思想、规范、合法性和文化工具包。为探索这些方法，进行了两个步骤的调查。首先，通过一系列定量回归分析，结合综合时间序列横截面分析和事件历史分析，考察了恐怖主义与国家反应之间的关系。其次，这项研究通过对土耳其、以色列和印度正在进行的三次著名恐怖活动的比较历史调查，对相同的问题进行了更敏感的深入研究。该项目是第一个对各国反恐政策的决定因素进行审查的项目，将一个全面的理论框架应用于跨国家一级的各种反恐措施。它提供了对各州决策过程和影响政策制定者的各种因素的洞察，并表明这些因素往往受到并非严格受效用驱动的考虑的影响。此外，这项研究还具有重要的公共政策含义。它为决策者和安全部队提供了有关各种反恐措施有效性的重要信息，使他们在打击国内和国际恐怖主义方面拥有了更有效的工具。

Why do different countries at different historical periods employ varying tactics in response to non-state terrorism and insurgency? This study explores empirically alternative explanations for this question during the last four decades. Using an integrative theoretical approach, it interlaces traditional actor-oriented international relations explanations that emphasize rational decision making and power relations with more sociological and cultural approaches, which emphasize ideas, norms, legitimacy and cultural toolkits. A two-step inquiry is conducted to explore these approaches. First, the relationship between terrorism and state response is examined through a series of quantitative regression analyses, combining pooled time-series cross-sectional analyses and event history analyses. Second, the research takes a more sensitive in-depth look at the same questions using a comparative historical investigation of three prominent ongoing terrorist campaigns in Turkey, Israel, and India. This project is the first to examine the determinants of states' counterterrorist policies applying a comprehensive theoretical framework to a variety of counterterrorist measures on a cross-national level. It provides insights into the processes of states' decision making and the various factors that influence policy makers and show that these are often affected by considerations that are not strictly utility-driven. In addition, the study has important public policy implications. It provides decision makers and security forces with important information about the effectiveness of various counterterrorist measures, equipping them with more efficient tools in their fight against domestic and international terrorism.