A Leadership Workshop to Meet the Challenge of Global Climate Change

应对全球气候变化挑战的领导力研讨会

• 批准号: 0937461
• 负责人: Jeffrey Sachs
• 金额: $ 14.37万
• 依托单位: Columbia University
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 项目类别: Standard Grant
• 财政年份: 2009
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 2009-06-01 至 2011-05-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://www.nsf.gov/awardsearch/showAward?AWD_ID=0937461&HistoricalAwards=false
• 关键词: Leadership; Workshop; Meet; Challenge; Global

Climate change is now widely agreed to be both inevitable and global in scale, but uneven in its consequences for ecosystems on land, in the oceans and for people. Human responses to impending changes, by choice or by necessity will be equally uneven and perhaps more difficult to predict than the physical and ecological changes driving them. As evidence from the past archive has built and models have improved in their ability to simulate the present and project into the future, so the evidence has accumulated increasingly clear signs that change is under way. Changes are spatially uneven, effecting climate zones and climate dynamics differently in different parts of the planet. Regions where changes are expected to be extreme lie close to places where little change is expected. These physical changes imprint themselves on a world where human welfare and development progress is also spatially uneven, sculptured by many forces of global change including the continued growth of population, especially in the poorer countries, the re-shaping of landscapes through human appropriation and the relentless depletion of natural resources. The outcomes for people and their ecological support systems throughout the world are extremely difficult to predict, but as expected the poorer parts of the world are where we see the most severe early.Responses to climate change by national governments, international organizations like the UN, and NGOs have been inconsistent and incoherent. Proposed policy options and engineering remedies are diverse and occasionally bizarre. The public is ill informed and deeply divided. The PIs will organize a one-day high-level community leadership workshop to start to shape such a response. They will assemble national research and education leaders as well as those involved at a high level in the economic and policy debates to deliberate on how to re-shape the country's consciousness on global climate change. The meeting will involve one full day and a preceding evening discussion. To ensure the effectiveness of the process the discussions will be moderated by a professional facilitator who will be responsible for delivering a succinct outcome document in a timely manner shortly following the meeting.Intellectual Merit: The intellectual merit of such a workshop will be the setting of an agenda for research and education, agreed upon by the countries' leading actors in agencies and institutions that can effect change to meet the challenge.Broader Impacts: Such an agenda will broadly impact the research community throughout the country to create a coherent and focuses effort in global change studies.

人们现在普遍认为，气候变化是不可避免的，而且是全球性的，但它对陆地、海洋和人类生态系统的影响是不均衡的。人类对即将发生的变化的反应，无论是出于选择还是出于必要，都同样是不平衡的，而且可能比驱动它们的物理和生态变化更难预测。随着过去档案中的证据不断积累，模型模拟现在和预测未来的能力不断提高，这些证据也积累了越来越多的明确迹象，表明变化正在发生。变化在空间上是不均衡的，对地球不同地区的气候带和气候动态产生不同的影响。预计变化将非常剧烈的地区与预计变化不大的地区非常接近。这些物质变化影响到一个人类福祉和发展进展在空间上也不平衡的世界，这是由许多全球变化力量造成的，包括人口的持续增长，特别是在较贫穷的国家，通过人类占用和自然资源的无情消耗重新塑造景观。世界各地的人们和他们的生态支持系统的结果是非常难以预测的，但正如预期的那样，世界上较贫穷的地区是我们早期看到的最严重的地区。各国政府，联合国等国际组织和非政府组织对气候变化的反应是不一致和不连贯的。提出的政策选择和工程补救措施多种多样，有时甚至是奇怪的。公众对此知之甚少，意见分歧很大。PI将组织一个为期一天的高级别社区领导研讨会，开始形成这样的反应。他们将召集国家研究和教育领导人以及参与经济和政策辩论的高层人士，讨论如何重塑该国对全球气候变化的认识。会议将包括一整天和前一天晚上的讨论。为确保这一进程的有效性，将由一名专业主持人主持讨论，主持人将负责在会后不久及时提交一份简明扼要的成果文件。这一讲习班的学术价值将是制定研究和教育议程，各国各机构和机关的主要行动者商定的、能够为迎接挑战而进行变革的政策。这一议程将广泛影响全国各地的研究界，以便在全球变化研究方面作出协调一致和重点突出的努力。