COLLABORATIVE RESEARCH: Dynamic Risk Perceptions about Mexican Swine Flu

合作研究：对墨西哥猪流感的动态风险认知

• 批准号: 0940004
• 负责人: Gretchen Chapman
• 金额: $ 11.69万
• 依托单位: Rutgers University New Brunswick
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 项目类别: Standard Grant
• 财政年份: 2009
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 2009-07-15 至 2011-06-30
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://www.nsf.gov/awardsearch/showAward?AWD_ID=0940004&HistoricalAwards=false
• 关键词: COLLABORATIVE; RESEARCH; Dynamic; Risk; Perceptions

Many decisions are made in the face of risk and uncertainty and under circumstances where each person's individual decision affects other people's outcomes. The 2009 outbreak of swine flu (influenza A H1N1) provides a chance to study how lay people's perceptions of risks change over time and how those perceptions drive willingness to engage in precautionary behaviors (such as anti-viral medication use or self quarantine) that not only have consequences for the person who engages in the behaviors but that also affect the risks for others in the population. The investigators use an internet survey regarding people?s risk perception and willingness to take precautionary measures to query cohorts of US adults starting a few days after the first news of the outbreak and continuing at regular intervals throughout the epidemic. The research examines the relationships over time among information from the media about the influenza outbreak, perceptions of risk, and interest in taking precautionary measures. This outbreak of a new infectious disease represents a rare opportunity to study how risk perceptions and precautionary behaviors change over time in response to information about how the hazard unfolds. The results could have implications not only for public health responses to natural disasters but also for an understanding of the basic mechanisms underlying risk perception and decision making under uncertainty.

许多决策都是在风险和不确定性面前做出的，而且每个人的个人决策都会影响其他人的结果。2009年爆发的猪流感（甲型H1N1流感）提供了一个机会，研究如何外行人的风险的看法随着时间的推移而变化，以及这些看法如何驱动愿意从事预防行为（如抗病毒药物的使用或自我隔离），不仅有后果的人谁从事的行为，但也影响了其他人的风险。 调查人员使用互联网调查关于人？的风险认知和采取预防措施的意愿，以询问美国成年人的队列开始后几天的第一次爆发的消息，并继续在整个流行病定期。该研究考察了媒体关于流感爆发的信息、风险认知和采取预防措施的兴趣之间的关系。这种新的传染病的爆发是一个难得的机会，可以研究风险认知和预防行为如何随着时间的推移而变化，以应对有关危险如何展开的信息。研究结果不仅对公共卫生应对自然灾害具有影响，而且对理解不确定性下风险感知和决策的基本机制也具有影响。