EAGER: Project Surya - Mitigation of Global and Regional Climate Change

EAGER：Surya 项目 - 减缓全球和区域气候变化

• 批准号: 1016496
• 负责人: Veerabhadran Ramanathan
• 金额: $ 30万
• 依托单位: University of California-San Diego Scripps Inst of Oceanography
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 项目类别: Standard Grant
• 财政年份: 2010
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 2010-06-15 至 2013-05-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://www.nsf.gov/awardsearch/showAward?AWD_ID=1016496&HistoricalAwards=false
• 关键词: EAGER; Project; Surya; Mitigation; Global

Project Surya is a scientific experiment aimed at quantifying the radiative forcing due to black carbon (BC) from biomass-fueled cooking and heating fires. Roughly 2.5 billion people depend on biomass burning for cooking and heating which contributes about 25% of the global BC emissions. Absorption of solar radiation by BC is estimated to contribute as much as 20% to 55% of the CO2 to global warming. The study will encompass a detailed analysis of the results of efforts to reduce BC emissions from 350 rural households in the densely populated Indo-Gangetic plains (IGP) region of Northern India. The reductions would be achieved by replacing traditional village cooking stoves with poor combustion efficiencies to modern stoves with higher efficiencies. The fundamental goal of the year-long study will be to collect and analyze observational data to test whether the effects of conversion to "clean" cooking on radiative forcing are discernable, and whether the net result warms or cools. The change in net radiative forcing will warm if the reduction in reflecting aerosol is greater than the reduction in absorbing aerosol, and vise versa. The hypothesis is that the net reduction will result in cooling. This is what will be tested in this proof-of-concept study. The principal investigator (PI) estimates a ratio significantly greater than one, of reduced absorbing aerosol to reflecting aerosol, which means that a massive conversion to clean cooking would have a significant negative feedback (cooling) to CO2-forced warming. His estimate must be tested with observations. This EAGER award will enable that test. If he is right, the science and applications will be transformative. The project is risky for several reasons, among them are the robustness of the measurement of the ratio, the difficulties of upscaling information to much larger, more heterogeneous regions in India, and the new IT data collection techniques developed for working in an environment like an Indian village. If successful, the payoff could be globally significant.Broader Impact: Project Surya could lead to the rapid reduction of warming aerosol and gases. With indoor pollution killing over a million people a year, global action to cut soot emissions could be of major and immediate benefit for both public health and the climate.

Surya项目是一项科学实验，旨在量化由生物质燃料烹饪和加热火灾产生的黑碳（BC）引起的辐射强迫。大约有25亿人依靠生物质燃烧来做饭和取暖，占全球BC排放量的25%左右。据估计，BC吸收的太阳辐射对全球变暖的贡献高达20%至55%。这项研究将包括对印度北方人口稠密的印度-恒河平原地区350个农村家庭减少BC排放的努力结果进行详细分析。减少的办法是将燃烧效率低的传统乡村炉灶换成效率更高的现代炉灶。这项为期一年的研究的基本目标将是收集和分析观测数据，以测试转换为“清洁”烹饪对辐射强迫的影响是否可以识别，以及净结果是变暖还是变冷。 如果反射气溶胶的减少大于吸收气溶胶的减少，则净辐射强迫的变化将变暖，反之亦然。 假设是净减少将导致冷却。这就是在这个概念验证研究中将要测试的内容。 主要研究者（PI）估计，减少吸收气溶胶与反射气溶胶的比率明显大于1，这意味着大量转换为清洁烹饪将对CO2强迫变暖产生显著的负反馈（冷却）。 他的估计必须用观察来检验。 EAGER奖将使这一测试成为可能。 如果他是对的，科学和应用将是变革性的。 该项目有风险，原因有几个，其中包括：比率测量的稳健性，将信息升级到印度更大、更多样化的地区的困难，以及为在印度村庄这样的环境中工作而开发的新的信息技术数据收集技术。 更广泛的影响：苏里亚项目可能导致迅速减少变暖的气溶胶和气体。由于室内污染每年造成100多万人死亡，减少烟尘排放的全球行动可能对公众健康和气候都有重大而直接的好处。