WSC Category-2: Climate Change, Shifting Land Use, and Urbanization in a Midwestern Agricultural Landscape: Challenges for Water Quality and Quantity

WSC 类别 2：中西部农业景观中的气候变化、土地利用转变和城市化：水质和水量的挑战

• 批准号: 1038759
• 负责人: Christopher Kucharik
• 金额: $ 491.2万
• 依托单位: University of Wisconsin-Madison
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 项目类别: Standard Grant
• 财政年份: 2011
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 2011-04-01 至 2016-09-30
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://www.nsf.gov/awardsearch/showAward?AWD_ID=1038759&HistoricalAwards=false
• 关键词: WSC; Category; Climate; Change; Shifting

The cycling of water between the atmosphere, ecosystems, and humans is a growing concern in urbanizing agricultural watersheds where changing climate, human demands, agricultural practices, land use and other policies interact. In this study, the investigators will address how the benefits humans receive from diverse landscapes can be sustained as climate, land use, cities, and human demands change. The researchers will employ integrated scenarios, model experiments to assess effects of changing drivers on human benefits derived from ecosystems, evaluations of governance, public engagement, and information management. The focus is the Yahara Watershed of Wisconsin, where the investigators will address three specific questions. (1) How do different patterns of land cover, land management, and water resource engineering practices affect the resilience of freshwater ecosystems under a changing climate? (2) How can governance systems for water and land use be made more responsive to drivers of change to meet diverse human needs? (3) In what ways are human-environment systems able to cope with change and in what ways are they vulnerable to potential changes in climate and freshwaters? This work will synthesize decision-maker perspectives, alternative approaches to resource governance, plausible trends in demographic and economic drivers, and model projections under alternate climate regimes to assess future conditions of the watershed. An innovative set of outreach and education activities will reach stakeholders, including residents of the Yahara Watershed and beyond; undergraduate and graduate students at UW-Madison and Edgewood College; postdoctoral trainees; business leaders; and policy makers at local, state, national and international levels. The integrated scenario process not only links the components of the research, but also provides a focus for outreach, education and discussions that explore diverse viewpoints about future development in the context of climate change. The project will further engage citizens through workshops, environmental forums, an informative Water Walk along the Lake Mendota lakeshore, a feature show on Wisconsin Public Television, and a dynamic website. The dedicated website will offer (1) descriptions of the scenarios as they evolve, and summary and visualization of the outcomes, (2) visualization and access to observational data collected in the watershed, (3) a virtual online version and podcasts of the Water Walk, and (4) organization of feedback through blogs and discussions surrounding public meetings, forums, and annual meetings of project participants.

在不断变化的气候、人类需求、农业做法、土地使用和其他政策相互作用的农业流域，水在大气、生态系统和人类之间的循环日益受到关注。在这项研究中，研究人员将讨论人类从不同景观中获得的好处如何随着气候，土地使用，城市和人类需求的变化而持续。研究人员将采用综合方案，模型实验来评估不断变化的驱动因素对生态系统带来的人类利益的影响，对治理，公众参与和信息管理的评估。 重点是威斯康星州的亚哈拉流域，调查人员将在那里解决三个具体问题。(1)土地覆被、土地管理和水资源工程实践的不同模式如何影响气候变化下淡水生态系统的复原力？(2)如何才能使水和土地使用治理系统更好地响应变化的驱动因素，以满足人类的各种需求？(3)人类-环境系统以何种方式能够科普变化，又以何种方式易受气候和淡水潜在变化的影响？这项工作将综合决策者的观点，资源治理的替代方法，人口和经济驱动因素的合理趋势，以及在替代气候制度下的模型预测，以评估流域的未来条件。一套创新的外联和教育活动将覆盖利益相关者，包括Yahara流域及其他地区的居民;威斯康星大学麦迪逊分校和埃奇伍德学院的本科生和研究生;博士后学员;商界领袖;以及地方，州，国家和国际各级的政策制定者。综合设想过程不仅将研究的各个组成部分联系起来，而且还为探讨气候变化背景下关于未来发展的各种观点的外联、教育和讨论提供了一个重点。该项目将通过讲习班、环境论坛、门多塔湖畔沿着信息丰富的水上步行、威斯康星州公共电视台的专题节目和一个动态网站，进一步吸引公民。 专门的网站将提供（1）随着情景的演变而描述情景，并总结和可视化结果，（2）可视化和访问在流域收集的观测数据，（3）虚拟在线版本和水之旅播客，以及（4）通过博客和围绕公共会议，论坛和项目参与者年会的讨论组织反馈。