INFEWS/T1: Sustaining food, energy, and water security in agricultural landscapes of the Upper Mississippi River Basin

INFEWS/T1：维持密西西比河流域上游农业景观的粮食、能源和水安全

• 批准号: 1855996
• 负责人: Christopher Kucharik
• 金额: $ 249.97万
• 依托单位: University of Wisconsin-Madison
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 项目类别: Continuing Grant
• 财政年份: 2019
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 2019-07-15 至 2025-06-30
• 项目状态: 未结题
• 来源: https://www.nsf.gov/awardsearch/showAward?AWD_ID=1855996&HistoricalAwards=false
• 关键词: INFEWS; T1; Sustaining; food; energy

As a breadbasket, biofuel producer, and water tower, the Upper Mississippi River Basin (UMRB) is one of the most important and diverse watersheds in the U.S. and is critical to national food-energy-water (FEW) security. The UMRB encompasses a range of agro-climatic regions, decision makers, and political and social structures, and exemplifies many environmental problems that characterize agricultural landscapes because of competing demands for FEW. The research team will use numerical modeling and integrated biophysical, hydrological and social-ecological research to generate systems-level understanding of FEW dynamics in the UMRB needed to foster a sustainability transition in national and global FEW systems. FEW elements are strongly connected and the biophysical systems that control FEW supply respond to local-to-global economies and policies. To address this complexity, the project will examine and model indicators of FEW security (i.e. food and biofuel production, water quality and quantity) at multiple scales and under alternative future scenarios and policies to the year 2050. This targeted modelling will advance understanding of how FEW systems respond to multiple interacting drivers such as land and water management and climate that vary over space and time. The project will identify institutional barriers that inhibit societal adaptation of land and water management to achieve FEW security.The integrated modeling of this project will enhance FEW security in the UMRB and focuses on the overarching question: How do FEW systems of the UMRB respond to complex social-biophysical interactions, and what policies and practices will sustain FEW security and the environment, reduce risk of abrupt change, and promote ecosystem resilience during the 21st century? This integrated cross-systems project will explore the magnitude and rate of long-term slow (e.g. climate) and abrupt (e. g. extreme weather events; new policy) changes on agricultural landscapes that can be absorbed without experiencing precipitous declines in FEW supplies. The project will evaluate changes in seven FEW components: cellulosic biofuel from grasses, biofuel from crops, water quality, water quantity, crop production, human food production, and indicators of ecosystem biodiversity. A suite of complementary quantifiable targets for improving FEW security in the UMRB will be assessed using the U.N. Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) as a framework. The research will quantify 1) current conditions and trends in FEW systems, 2) top-down effects of external biophysical and socioeconomic drivers across the entire UMRB region, and 3) impacts of bottom-up drivers and decisions at finer scales in four diverse representative sub-regions of the UMRB. The work will identify how choices, policies, and governance networks can amplify or dampen feedbacks that stabilize or destabilize FEW systems. The work will develop and apply new theory about how combinations of drivers interact in agricultural landscapes in order to identify the state-space in which FEW security can be sustained as shocks (drought, extreme heat, flooding, and policy changes) intersect with slowly changing drivers. Biophysical and economic land use modeling will be used with mixed-methods studies of governance to develop a participatory modeling approach to advance knowledge about FEW security. The project will connect the research with students, educators, stakeholders, policy actors, and the public through a variety of efforts that will foster discussions of FEW security in classrooms, boardrooms, and town halls. To promote significant and wide-ranging discussions of FEW systems security and a sustainability transition, this project has strategically teamed with extension professionals who are directly involved in the North Central Water Network and the Framework for Nutrient Reduction Strategy Collaboration. This will facilitate engagement with key actors, enabling direct communication of findings to a broad community concerned with FEW security in the entire UMRB.This award reflects NSF's statutory mission and has been deemed worthy of support through evaluation using the Foundation's intellectual merit and broader impacts review criteria.

作为一个粮仓，生物燃料生产商和水塔，上密西西比河流域（UMRB）是美国最重要和最多样化的流域之一，对国家粮食-能源-水（FEW）安全至关重要。UMBB包括一系列的农业气候区域，决策者，政治和社会结构，并阐明了许多环境问题，农业景观的特点，因为竞争的需求很少。该研究团队将利用数值模拟和综合生物物理，水文和社会生态研究，以产生系统层面的了解，在UMBB需要促进国家和全球FEW系统的可持续性过渡的FEW动态。少数元素之间有着密切的联系，控制少数元素供应的生物物理系统对地方到全球的经济和政策作出反应。为了解决这一复杂性，该项目将在多个尺度上并在2050年之前的替代未来情景和政策下，审查和模拟FEW安全指标（即粮食和生物燃料生产、水质和水量）。这种有针对性的建模将促进了解少数系统如何应对多种相互作用的驱动因素，如土地和水资源管理以及随时间和空间变化的气候。该项目将确定阻碍社会适应土地和水资源管理以实现FEW安全的体制障碍。该项目的综合建模将增强UMBR中的FEW安全，并侧重于首要问题：UMRB的FEW系统如何应对复杂的社会-生物物理相互作用，以及哪些政策和实践将维持FEW的安全和环境，减少突变的风险，并在21世纪世纪促进生态系统的恢复力？这个综合性的跨系统项目将探索长期缓慢（如气候）和突然（如气候）的幅度和速度。G.极端天气事件;新政策）对农业景观的影响，这些变化可以在不经历FEW供应急剧下降的情况下被吸收。该项目将评估七个少数组成部分的变化：草的纤维素生物燃料，作物的生物燃料，水质，水量，作物生产，人类粮食生产和生态系统生物多样性指标。将以联合国可持续发展目标（SDG）为框架，评估一套用于改善UMBR中少数人安全的补充性可量化目标。该研究将量化1）FEW系统的当前状况和趋势，2）整个UMRB地区外部生物物理和社会经济驱动因素的自上而下的影响，以及3）自下而上的驱动因素和决策的影响在四个不同的UMRB代表性子区域的更精细尺度。这项工作将确定选择，政策和治理网络如何放大或抑制稳定或破坏FEW系统的反馈。这项工作将开发和应用关于驱动因素组合如何在农业景观中相互作用的新理论，以确定当冲击（干旱，极端高温，洪水和政策变化）与缓慢变化的驱动因素相交时，少数安全可以维持的状态空间。生物物理和经济土地利用建模将与治理的混合方法研究一起使用，以开发一种参与式建模方法，以提高对FEW安全的认识。该项目将通过各种努力将研究与学生，教育工作者，利益相关者，政策参与者和公众联系起来，这些努力将促进在教室，董事会会议室和市政霍尔斯讨论FEW安全问题。为了促进对FEW系统安全和可持续性过渡的重要和广泛的讨论，该项目与直接参与中北部供水网络和减少营养物战略合作框架的推广专业人员进行了战略合作。这将促进与关键参与者的接触，使调查结果能够直接传达给整个UMBB中关注FEW安全的广泛社区。该奖项反映了NSF的法定使命，并通过使用基金会的知识价值和更广泛的影响审查标准进行评估，被认为值得支持。

项目成果

Nitrate losses from Midwest US agroecosystems: Impacts of varied management and precipitation

美国中西部农业生态系统的硝酸盐损失：不同管理和降水的影响

• DOI: 10.2489/jswc.2023.00048
• 发表时间: 2023
• 期刊: Journal of Soil and Water Conservation
• 影响因子: 3.9
• 作者: Shrestha, D.;Masarik, K.;Kucharik, C.J.
• 通讯作者: Kucharik, C.J.

Land use-land cover gradient demonstrates the importance of perennial grasslands with intact soils for building soil carbon in the fertile Mollisols of the North Central US

• DOI: 10.1016/j.geoderma.2022.115854
• 发表时间: 2022-07
• 期刊: Geoderma
• 影响因子: 6.1
• 作者: G. Sanford;R. Jackson;Y. Rui;C. Kucharik

Field‐scale analysis of miscanthus production indicates climate change may increase the opportunity for water quality improvement in a key Iowa watershed

对芒草生产的田间规模分析表明，气候变化可能会增加爱荷华州一个关键流域水质改善的机会

• DOI: 10.1111/gcbb.13078
• 发表时间: 2023
• 期刊: GCB Bioenergy
• 影响因子: 5.6
• 作者: Ferin, Kelsie M.;Balson, Tyler;Audia, Ellen;Ward, Adam S.;Liess, Stefan;Twine, Tracy E.;VanLoocke, Andy
• 通讯作者: VanLoocke, Andy

Data inaccessibility at sub‐county scale limits implementation of manuresheds

县以下规模的数据无法获取限制了粪肥的实施

• DOI: 10.1002/jeq2.20271
• 发表时间: 2021
• 期刊: Journal of Environmental Quality
• 影响因子: 2.4
• 作者: Booth, Eric G.;Kucharik, Christopher J.
• 通讯作者: Kucharik, Christopher J.

Perennial grassland agriculture restores critical ecosystem functions in the U.S. Upper Midwest

多年生草原农业恢复了美国中西部北部地区的关键生态系统功能

• DOI: 10.3389/fsufs.2022.1010280
• 发表时间: 2022
• 期刊: Frontiers in Sustainable Food Systems
• 影响因子: 4.7
• 作者: Wepking, Carl;Mackin, Hunter C.;Raff, Zach;Shrestha, Debendra;Orfanou, Anna;Booth, Eric G.;Kucharik, Christopher J.;Gratton, Claudio;Jackson, Randall D.
• 通讯作者: Jackson, Randall D.