CAREER: Sustainability Implications of Transportation Choice in China

该项目的研究和教育活动侧重于在中国开发车辆购买和使用选择模型，以估计各种增长情景和车辆技术的可持续性影响，并为可持续政策响应提供信息。本研究将包括两个主要活动：(1)车辆购买和使用行为将被表征，以确定一般的个人交通价值和潜在的机动化途径。这项工作将结合陈述和揭示的偏好选择建模方法来量化人们现在选择的特征，以及近期可能采用的潜在技术。这最终将用于在各种经济和政策框架下建立不同燃料和技术的机动化方案。(2)扩展车辆增长情景，通过生命周期评价（LCA）方法量化环境影响。从环境的角度来看，每种情景（技术和经济）都将产生不同的影响，从而导致在其他政策目标的范围内将环境影响降到最低的政策。该项目将以一种系统的方式描述中国主要城市的交通选择行为，这是以前从未有过的规模。这种见解将量化影响机动化的因素，而不仅仅是国家GDP，从而导致更强大的车辆购买和模式选择模型。为此目的，将可评估替代燃料的可行性，并可量化其对可持续性的影响。教育活动将针对包括K-12学生、本科生和研究生在内的几个受众。活动将包括K-12外展项目、新生研讨会、新研究生课程内容以及在中国大学的国际体验。通过让本科生和研究生参与数据收集、模型开发和政策分析，教育活动将融入研究部分。这个项目将是跨学科的，因此具有不同教育背景的学生将有机会向他人学习并教授他人成功分析可持续发展和交通选择等跨学科主题。该项目的更广泛影响包括培养一支具有国际视野的运输队伍，能够在多样化和具有挑战性的环境中工作；在工程领域招募和包容代表性不足的群体；以及提高对中国机动化道路可持续性影响的认识，从而制定能够减少当地空气污染、温室气体排放和能源使用的政策。该奖项由OISE-China共同资助。

1055282-CherryThe research and educational activities for this project focus on developing vehicle purchase and use choice models in China to estimate sustainability impacts of various growth scenarios and vehicle technologies and inform a sustainable policy response. This research will include of two major activities: (1) Vehicle purchase and use behavior will be characterized to identify general personal transportation values and potential motorization pathways. This work will use a combination of stated and revealed preference choice modeling methods to quantify characteristics that people choose now, and potential technologies that could be adopted in the near-term. This would ultimately be used to build motorization scenarios with different fuels and technologies, under various economic and policy frameworks. (2) Vehicle growth scenarios will be extended to quantify environmental impacts through life-cycle assessment (LCA) methods. Each scenario (technological and economic) will have varied impacts from an environmental perspective, leading to policies that could minimize environmental impacts within the bounds of other policy objectives. The project will characterizetransportation choice behavior in a systematic way, across major Chinese cities, which has not been done before at this scale. This insight will quantify factors, beyond national GDP, that influence motorization, leading to more robust vehicle purchase and mode choice modeling. To this end, viability of alternative fuels will be assessable and the sustainability implications quantifiable. The educational activities will target several audiences, including K-12 students, undergraduate and graduate students. Activities will include a K-12 outreach programs, a freshman seminar, content for new graduate courses, and international experiences at Universities in China. The educational activities will be integrated into the research component by engaging undergraduate and graduate students in the data collection, model development, and policy analysis. This project will be interdisciplinary, so students with varied educational backgrounds will have an opportunity to learn from and teach others to successfully analyze a topic as interdisciplinary as sustainability and transportation choice. The broader impacts of this project include the development of an internationally minded transportation workforce, capable of operating in diverse and challenging environments; the recruitment and inclusion of underrepresented groups in engineering; and the improved understanding of sustainability implications of motorization pathways in China, leading to policy that can reduce local air pollution, greenhouse gas emissions, and energy use. This award is co-funded by OISE-China.