LANDSCAPE VULNERABILITY AND RESILIENCE TO GLOBAL CHANGE

景观脆弱性和对全球变化的抵御力

• 批准号: 1057617
• 负责人: David Foster
• 金额: $ 5万
• 依托单位: Harvard University
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 项目类别: Standard Grant
• 财政年份: 2010
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 2010-09-01 至 2012-08-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://www.nsf.gov/awardsearch/showAward?AWD_ID=1057617&HistoricalAwards=false
• 关键词: LANDSCAPE; VULNERABILITY; RESILIENCE; GLOBAL; CHANGE

Research to understand, anticipate, and adapt to global change requires a cross-disciplinary investigation of how factors such as land use and climate are altering ecosystems today and in the future. We seek to host a workshop that engages a diverse community of researchers with strong backgrounds in forecasting and future scenarios research and a demonstrated commitment to making this work an LTER network-wide activity. The workshop would focus on the modeling component of this activity, with the goal of creating a robust forecasting tool that can address major scientific questions and challenges for society, including: (1) how will shifting natural and cultural processes affect a region?s future? (2) how will these changes influence a region?s natural infrastructure including carbon sequestration, water availability, habitat, and natural resources, and (3) how and why do regions differ in their vulnerability, resilience, and adaptability to global change? Products of the workshop will include the initial development of a cross-site model framework for the project; a strategy for confronting logistical barriers to the modeling effort; and a critical assessment of the staff and resources needed at each of the participating LTER sites for the project to succeed.Thinking of possible scenarios is among the most promising approaches to addressing the ecological and socioeconomic challenges of global change. The network-wide nature of this activity will engage regional clusters of sites and allow them to pool resources and expertise on shared ecosystem types, stakeholder groups, land use issues, and other factors. The initial and ongoing work of the project will have major societal benefits through direct engagement of diverse stakeholder communities in the creation of the tool (policy and decision makers, managers, community and business leaders, educators, and a wide array of scientists in different disciplines) and through its direct focus on addressing societal and scientific questions.

了解，预期和适应全球变化的研究需要跨学科的调查，对土地使用和气候等因素如何改变当今和将来的生态系统。我们试图举办一个研讨会，该研讨会吸引了一个在预测和未来的情景研究中具有强大背景的研究人员社区，并证明了使这项工作成为整个网络范围的活动的承诺。研讨会将重点放在这项活动的建模组成部分上，目的是创建一个可以解决社会的主要科学问题和挑战的强大预测工具，包括：（1）改变自然和文化过程将如何影响地区的未来？ （2）这些变化将如何影响一个地区的自然基础设施，包括碳固存，水的可用性，栖息地和自然资源，以及（3）区域在其脆弱性，弹性和对全球变化的适应性方面有何不同？ 研讨会的产品将包括针对该项目的跨站点模型框架的初步开发；面对建模工作的后勤障碍的策略；以及对项目成功的每个参与级别站点所需的人员和资源进行的批判性评估。考虑到可能的情况是解决全球变化的生态和社会经济挑战的最有希望的方法之一。这项活动的网络性质将吸引区域群集，并允许他们在共享的生态系统类型，利益相关者群体，土地使用问题和其他因素上汇集资源和专业知识。该项目的最初和正在进行的工作将通过直接参与各种利益相关者社区（政策和决策者，经理，社区和商业领袖，教育工作者，教育工作者以及各种科学家的广泛科学家），并通过其直接关注社会和科学问题的直接关注。