LANDSCAPE VULNERABILITY AND RESILIENCE TO GLOBAL CHANGE

景观脆弱性和对全球变化的抵御力

• 批准号: 1057617
• 负责人: David Foster
• 金额: $ 5万
• 依托单位: Harvard University
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 项目类别: Standard Grant
• 财政年份: 2010
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 2010-09-01 至 2012-08-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://www.nsf.gov/awardsearch/showAward?AWD_ID=1057617&HistoricalAwards=false
• 关键词: LANDSCAPE; VULNERABILITY; RESILIENCE; GLOBAL; CHANGE

Research to understand, anticipate, and adapt to global change requires a cross-disciplinary investigation of how factors such as land use and climate are altering ecosystems today and in the future. We seek to host a workshop that engages a diverse community of researchers with strong backgrounds in forecasting and future scenarios research and a demonstrated commitment to making this work an LTER network-wide activity. The workshop would focus on the modeling component of this activity, with the goal of creating a robust forecasting tool that can address major scientific questions and challenges for society, including: (1) how will shifting natural and cultural processes affect a region?s future? (2) how will these changes influence a region?s natural infrastructure including carbon sequestration, water availability, habitat, and natural resources, and (3) how and why do regions differ in their vulnerability, resilience, and adaptability to global change? Products of the workshop will include the initial development of a cross-site model framework for the project; a strategy for confronting logistical barriers to the modeling effort; and a critical assessment of the staff and resources needed at each of the participating LTER sites for the project to succeed.Thinking of possible scenarios is among the most promising approaches to addressing the ecological and socioeconomic challenges of global change. The network-wide nature of this activity will engage regional clusters of sites and allow them to pool resources and expertise on shared ecosystem types, stakeholder groups, land use issues, and other factors. The initial and ongoing work of the project will have major societal benefits through direct engagement of diverse stakeholder communities in the creation of the tool (policy and decision makers, managers, community and business leaders, educators, and a wide array of scientists in different disciplines) and through its direct focus on addressing societal and scientific questions.

了解、预测和适应全球变化的研究需要对土地利用和气候等因素如何改变当今和未来的生态系统进行跨学科的调查。我们寻求举办一个研讨会，吸引不同的研究人员社区，他们在预测和未来情景研究方面具有强大的背景，并致力于使这项工作成为LTER网络范围内的活动。该研讨会将重点关注这一活动的建模部分，目标是创建一个强大的预测工具，可以解决重大的科学问题和社会挑战，包括：（1）自然和文化进程的变化将如何影响一个地区？的未来？(2)这些变化会对一个地区产生怎样的影响？的自然基础设施，包括碳封存，水的可用性，栖息地和自然资源，以及（3）如何以及为什么不同的地区在其脆弱性，弹性和适应全球变化？ 研讨会的成果将包括为该项目初步开发一个跨站点模型框架;一个应对建模工作后勤障碍的战略;以及对每个参与LTER站点为使该项目取得成功所需的工作人员和资源进行严格评估。考虑可能的情景是应对全球变化的生态和社会经济挑战的最有希望的方法之一。这一活动的网络性质将使各区域遗址群参与进来，并使它们能够汇集关于共享生态系统类型、利益攸关方群体、土地使用问题和其他因素的资源和专门知识。该项目的初期和持续工作将产生重大的社会效益，办法是让不同的利益攸关方社区（政策制定者和决策者、管理人员、社区和企业领导人、教育工作者以及不同学科的各种科学家）直接参与工具的创建，并直接侧重于解决社会和科学问题。