The Effects of Solar Variability on Earth's Climate: A Workshop

太阳变率对地球气候的影响：研讨会

• 批准号: 1106426
• 负责人: Michael Moloney
• 金额: $ 5万
• 依托单位: National Academy of Sciences
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 项目类别: Standard Grant
• 财政年份: 2011
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 2011-04-15 至 2013-03-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://www.nsf.gov/awardsearch/showAward?AWD_ID=1106426&HistoricalAwards=false
• 关键词: Effects; Solar; Variability; Earth; Climate

The NRC will form an ad hoc committee to organize and conduct a public workshop to examine our state of knowledge regarding the Earth's climate response to solar variability. This workshop will assist NSF and NASA in assessing potential avenues for future research. The committee will hold meetings to develop the agenda for the workshop and define topics for invited presentations and discussions. Ultimately, the NRC committee will prepare a workshop report that will summarize the event, without specific findings or recommendations. The specific topics for inclusion at the workshop will be developed through discussions among NASA, NSF, and NRC. However, the topics might include the following: - What is the evidence of the impact of solar variability on climate, particularly in the lower atmosphere, over decadal time scales? - What can we learn of climate responses to solar variability using paleo climate records? - Are there any significant climate impacts of solar variability on regional scales? - What are the research directions, additional observations and/or model improvements necessary to improve our understanding and forecast ability regarding solar variability and climate, particularly over the solar cycle time scale? This workshop will contribute to deteriming future research in global climate change, one of today's most critical science policy issues. A more in-depth understanding of the complexity of the Earth's response to solar radiative forcing and the recurring variability of the solar cycle will provide insights into the Sun-Earth system as a whole.

NRC将成立一个特设委员会，组织和举办一个公共讲习班，以审查我们对地球气候对太阳变化的反应的知识状况。该研讨会将协助NSF和NASA评估未来研究的潜在途径。委员会将举行会议，制定讲习班议程，并确定应邀发言和讨论的主题。最后，NRC委员会将准备一份研讨会报告，总结这一事件，没有具体的调查结果或建议。将通过NASA、NSF和NRC之间的讨论来确定研讨会的具体主题。然而，这些议题可能包括以下内容：-在十年时间尺度上，太阳变率对气候，特别是低层大气的影响的证据是什么？- 利用古气候记录，我们可以了解到气候对太阳变率的反应吗？- 在区域尺度上，太阳变率是否有任何重大的气候影响？- 为了提高我们对太阳变率和气候的理解和预测能力，特别是在太阳周期时间尺度上，需要哪些研究方向、额外的观测和/或模型改进？本次研讨会将有助于重新规划全球气候变化的未来研究，这是当今最关键的科学政策问题之一。更深入地了解地球对太阳辐射强迫的反应的复杂性和太阳周期的反复变化，将有助于深入了解整个日地系统。