EAGER: Search for a Paleotsunami Record in the Wetlands of Southern California

渴望：在南加州湿地寻找古海啸记录

• 批准号: 1140116
• 负责人: Brady Rhodes
• 金额: $ 5.77万
• 依托单位: CSU Fullerton Auxiliary Services Corporation
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 项目类别: Standard Grant
• 财政年份: 2011
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 2011-12-15 至 2013-11-30
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://www.nsf.gov/awardsearch/showAward?AWD_ID=1140116&HistoricalAwards=false
• 关键词: EAGER; Search; Paleotsunami; Record; Wetlands

In 2004, a magnitude 9.3 earthquake off Sumatra triggered a tsunami that devastated an unaware and unprepared country, resulting in more than 150,000 Indonesian deaths. Seven years later, an only slightly smaller magnitude 9.0 earthquake off the densely populated East coast of Japan triggered a tsunami of similar size, but with a much lower death toll. Japan has a rich record, both geological and historical, of past tsunamis. This record has raised awareness in the population of Japan and fostered arguably the most stringent building codes and best coastal engineering in the world--both contributing to the reduced loss of life in Japan. In Southern California, historical written records extend back only 150-200 years, with no confirmed physical evidence for past tsunamis in the geological record. Yet Southern California has a densely populated coastal zone, and is home to three large ports, including the Port of Los Angeles and Long Beach Harbor and ten power plants, including the San Onofre nuclear power plant. Even a modestly sized tsunami would have an enormous impact of the economy of Southern California. In the past ten years, mapping and seismic reflection profiling of off-shore Southern California has revealed a dense network of potentialy seismogenic faults and large submarine landslides. Modeling of these hypothetical seismic and landslide sources suggests that they could generate a tsunami with local wave heights of up to 20m or more. However, without a geologic record of tsunamis, these studies can only be regarded as speculative. Coastal wetlands of Southern California, formed during the Holocene sea-level rise, provide an ideal, predominantly muddy sedimentary environment to capture a sandy tsunami deposit. This project is a systematic search of these wetland sediments for tsunami deposit candidates. Finding a record of tsunamis in Southern California will verify and validate much of the research of the last ten years on modeling local tsunamis from submarine landslides and offshore earthquakes. The scale and frequency of inundation along the coast has a direct impact on emergency management policy and development, especially in densely populated, economically important Southern California. Modeling can only provide an estimated scale of inundation, but a geologic record of tsunamis represents a transformative scientific discovery that would help verify the occurrence, scale, and frequency of inundation--critical information for planning tsunami hazard mitigation. Data from this project provides a robust record of the Holocene history of the California wetlands, including environmental changes through time, and places constraints on Holocene sea-level change. This project also adds to paleoclimate data for the region. Many of the wetlands in the area are ecological preserves with active on-site laboratories and/or popular visitors centers. Several of the organizations overseeing these areas have requested that the results from this project be integrated with their on-site displays. Tsunami information derived from the project will reach a broad cross-section of the Southern California community. This information will also be also shared with local governments and media to ensure the public is apprised of the implications of these results.The project also has a strong educational component, training three undergraduate research assistants, who will be included in all aspects of the project, including fieldwork, laboratory analyses, interpretation, and the presentation of the results both orally at conferences and through co-authorship of scholarly papers.

2004年，苏门答腊岛附近发生9.3级地震，引发海啸，摧毁了一个没有意识和准备的国家，造成15万多印度尼西亚人死亡。七年后，在人口稠密的日本东海岸发生了一场规模略小的9.0级地震，引发了一场类似规模的海啸，但死亡人数要少得多。日本有着丰富的海啸历史和地质记录。这一记录提高了日本民众的认识，并促进了可以说是世界上最严格的建筑规范和最好的海岸工程-这两者都有助于减少日本的生命损失。在南加州，历史文字记录只能追溯到150-200年前，在地质记录中没有确认过去海啸的物理证据。然而，南加州有一个人口稠密的沿海地区，并拥有三个大型港口，包括洛杉矶港和长滩港和十个发电厂，包括圣奥诺弗雷核电站。即使是一个中等规模的海啸也会对南加州的经济产生巨大的影响。 在过去的十年中，南加州近海的测绘和地震反射剖面显示了一个密集的潜在发震断层和大型海底滑坡网络。对这些假设的地震和滑坡源的建模表明，它们可能会产生局部波高高达20米或更高的海啸。然而，由于没有海啸的地质记录，这些研究只能被视为推测。加州南部的沿海湿地形成于全新世海平面上升时期，为捕获桑迪海啸存款提供了理想的、主要为淤泥质的沉积环境。该项目是对这些湿地沉积物进行海啸存款候选者的系统搜索。 在南加州找到海啸的记录将验证和确认过去十年来对海底滑坡和近海地震模拟当地海啸的大部分研究。沿着洪水泛滥的规模和频率对应急管理政策和发展有直接影响，特别是在人口稠密、经济重要的南加州。建模只能提供一个估计的洪水规模，但海啸的地质记录代表了一个变革性的科学发现，将有助于验证洪水的发生，规模和频率-规划海啸减灾的关键信息。该项目的数据提供了加州湿地全新世历史的可靠记录，包括随时间的环境变化，并限制了全新世海平面的变化。该项目还增加了该地区的古气候数据。 该地区的许多湿地都是生态保护区，拥有活跃的现场实验室和/或受欢迎的游客中心。监督这些领域的几个组织要求将该项目的成果与其现场展示结合起来。该项目产生的海啸信息将广泛传播到南加州社区。这些信息也将与当地政府和媒体分享，以确保公众了解这些结果的影响。该项目还具有强大的教育组成部分，培训三名本科生研究助理，他们将参与项目的各个方面，包括实地考察，实验室分析，口译，以及在会议上口头介绍成果和通过共同撰写学术论文。