CCES, 2012 Panel Study

该项目支持2012年大选前后的调查，重新访问了在2010年大选期间接受调查的全国1.8万名公民。最终，这将导致有史以来规模最大的多年期选举小组调查之一。这种面板设计为研究人员提供了一种更好地了解公众舆论、政治态度和选举行为如何从一次选举到下一次选举变化的方法。这个庞大的小组提供了足够的统计力量来衡量群体内部的意见变化动态，如种族、经济、党派团体或国家特定地区。因此，该小组的力量为广泛的研究问题提供了新的见解。例如，从中期选举到总统选举，选民的组成是如何变化的？选区重划对选民参与有何影响？选民如何让政府对经济负责？部署和伤亡在影响对美国参与外国冲突的支持方面发挥了什么作用？这些问题的答案将有助于我们理解如何维持一个知情和参与的公民。该项目产生的面板数据集将提供给学术界，并将成为对各种各样的问题感兴趣的学者的重要资源，这些问题包括态度如何随着时间的推移而变化，重新划分选区的影响和选举管理，并将进一步促进调查研究方法的进步。我们预计，这里的结果将对评估地区和选区的变化对选举管理的影响非常有用。pi将把这些结果传达给管理者，特别是通过加州理工学院/麻省理工学院投票技术项目和相关活动。最后，这个项目促进了教育。这项拨款支持与调查相关的教育材料的制作，以便教师可以很容易地将这个和其他小组研究整合到他们的课程中，学生可以将这个调查用于论文和其他研究。

This project supports a 2012 pre-and post-election survey that re-interviews 18,000 citizens nationwide who were originally surveyed during the 2010 election. Ultimately, this will result in one of the largest multi-year election panel surveys ever produced. This panel design provides a way for researchers to better understand how public opinion, political attitudes, and electoral behavior change from one election to the next. The large panel provides sufficient statistical power to measure the dynamics of opinion change within groups, such as ethnic, economic, or partisan groups or within particular areas of the country. As a result, the power of this panel provides new insights on a wide range of research questions. For example, how does the composition of the electorate change from midterm elections to presidential elections? What is the impact of redistricting on voter engagement? How does the electorate hold the government accountable for the economy? And what role do deployments or casualties play in affecting support for U.S. involvement in foreign conflicts? The answers to these questions will contribute to our understanding of how to sustain an informed and engaged citizenry.The panel dataset produced by this project will be made available to the scholarly community and will be an important resource for scholars interested in a wide variety of questions ranging including how attitudes change over time, the impact of redistricting, and the administration of elections, and will additionally contribute to the advancement of survey research methods. We anticipate that the results here will be highly useful in assessing the effects of shifts in district and precincts on election administration. The PIs will communicate these results to administrators, especially through the Caltech/MIT Voting Technology Project and associated activities. Finally, this project fosters education. This grant supports the production of educational materials related to the survey, so that faculty can readily integrate this and other panel studies into their courses and students can use this survey for thesis and other research.