Collaborative Research: Understanding and Forecasting North Atlantic and US Landfalling Tropical Cyclone Activity and Associated Rainfall

合作研究：了解和预测北大西洋和美国登陆的热带气旋活动及相关降雨

• 批准号: 1262099
• 负责人: Gabriel Vecchi
• 金额: $ 30.24万
• 依托单位: Princeton University
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 项目类别: Standard Grant
• 财政年份: 2013
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 2013-09-01 至 2017-02-28
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://www.nsf.gov/awardsearch/showAward?AWD_ID=1262099&HistoricalAwards=false
• 关键词: Collaborative; Research; Understanding; Forecasting; North

This project will advance our understanding of the physical processes responsible for the genesis, development and tracking of North Atlantic and US landfalling tropical cyclones (TCs). The team will apply newly gained physical insights towards the development of a seasonal forecasting system of North Atlantic and US landfalling TCs and associated rainfall. The approach follows in three phases: Phase I will focus on advancing the understanding of the physical processes responsible for the North Atlantic and US landfalling TC activity. Phase II will develop a seasonal forecasting system of TC activity using the knowledge established in Phase I. Phase III will focus on the seasonal forecast of rainfall associated with TCs during and after US landfall. The methodologies build on analysis tools and data sets that the PI and Co-PI have extensive experience with, and developed further here to address the problem of rainfall associated with landfalling TCs.

该项目将促进我们对北大西洋和美国登陆热带气旋（TC）的起源、发展和跟踪的物理过程的了解。该团队将应用新获得的物理见解，开发北大西洋和美国登陆TC及其相关降雨的季节性预报系统。该方法分为三个阶段：第一阶段将侧重于推进对北大西洋和美国登陆TC活动的物理过程的理解。第二阶段将利用第一阶段建立的知识开发热带气旋活动的季节性预报系统。第三阶段将侧重于与TC在美国登陆期间和之后的降雨量的季节性预测。这些方法建立在PI和Co-PI具有丰富经验的分析工具和数据集的基础上，并在此进一步发展，以解决与登陆TC相关的降雨问题。