Conference: Seasonal to Interannual Hydroclimate Forecasts and Water Management, Portland, OR, July/August 2013

1311751（Arumugam）。 本次会议将召集气候科学家，水文学家，预报机构，水务公司，水库运营商和水管理机构共同促进对发展与水资源管理相关的水文气候预测的挑战和机遇的理解。会议将在波特兰举行，或在7月底8月初，2013年。在四天的时间里，与会者将通过解决以下科学问题，重点讨论与水文气候预测和水资源管理有关的各种问题：（1）在日常，季节和年际时间尺度上挑战熟练水文气候预测的不确定性的主要来源是什么？(2)我们如何最好地减少不确定性和提高可靠性，在缩小规模的大尺度气候信息发展区域水文气候预测？(3)在业务水资源管理模型和决策工具中使用概率径流信息的关键挑战是什么？(4)在实时应用中应用流量预测的局限性是什么？(5)我们如何弥合预测生产者（机构、研究机构）和预测消费者（水资源管理者、业务机构）之间的差距，以改进预测在水管理中的应用？这些问题将在口头和海报会议上讨论，并邀请和贡献会谈。还将包括一个小组讨论的每一天的会议，讨论从一天的关键点？的口头和海报会议。召集人将编写一份专题论文，水资源管理的季节到年际水文气候预报根据邀请的会谈和小组讨论。NSF的资金将主要用于支持来自美国的年轻教师，学生和少数民族的参与。

1311751 (Arumugam). This conference will convene climate scientists, hydrologists, forecasting agencies, water utilities, reservoir operators and water management agencies together to advance understanding of the challenges and opportunities in developing hydroclimate forecasts relevant to water resources management. The conference will be held in Portland, OR during the end of July-begining of August, 2013. Over four days, the participants will focus on various issues related to hydroclimate forecasts and water management by addressing the following science questions: (1) What are the key sources of uncertainties that challenge development of skillful hydroclimate forecasts at daily, seasonal and interannual time scales? (2) How best do we reduce the uncertainty and improve reliability in downscaling largescale climate information for developing regional hydroclimate forecasts? (3) What are the key challenges in using probabilistic streamflow information in operational water resource management models and decision tools? (4) What are the limitations in applying streamflow forecasts for real-time applications? (5) How can we bridge the gaps between forecast producers (agencies, research institutions) and forecast consumers (water resource managers, operational agencies) for improving forecast applications in water management? These questions will be addressed in oral and poster sessions with invited and contributed talks. Also included will be a panel discussion for each day of the conference to discuss the critical points from the day?s oral and poster sessions. The conveners will prepare a monograph on ?Seasonal to Interannual Hydroclimate Forecasts for Water Resources Management? based on the invited talks and panel discussions. NSF funds will be used primarily to support participation of young faculty, students and minorities from the US.