Collaborative Research: American National Election Studies (ANES) 2014 - 2017

2016年美国全国选举研究（ANES）关注两个问题，这是民主选举的本质：候选人偏好和选民投票率。该研究的核心使命是通过提供系统和严格的数据收集来解释选举结果，这些数据支持丰富的假设检验，最大限度地提高方法论的卓越性，测量许多变量，并促进跨人群，背景和时间的比较。 ANES服务于这一使命，通过普通公民的眼睛为研究人员提供政治世界的观点。 这项研究将在未来四年内继续ANES的使命，但采用的是比以前更好的新方法。 它建立在ANES历史的基础上，使该项目成为几代社会科学家的宝贵资源。 与ANES时间序列中过去总统选举的情况一样，将对具有全国代表性的成年人样本进行面对面访谈，进行总统年选举前和选举后的研究。 此外，还将进行一项平行的互联网研究，该研究将使用一种新的新招募网络抽样策略。 这一方法创新的结果有可能使高可靠性、高答复率的调查工作发生革命性变化，因为它大大降低了调查的费用，并使调查的样本分散化。 这一方法创新的结果可能会对所有大规模的个人层面数据收集企业产生影响，并确保该项目、综合社会调查和其他项目的长期可行性。除了方法创新之外，2016年的调查继续允许检查快速变化的选民，一个经历了多年分裂的政府和非常高的政党团结的选民，在新的选举、经济和社会条件下吸引一批新的被提名人。 除了继续时间序列，将特别强调性别的作用，拉丁美洲人口的快速增长，以及收入不平等的日益严重的程度如何影响选举。 这项研究的结果将为来自广泛学科的社会科学家以及记者，政策制定者和普通公民的观点和研究视角提供信息。

The 2016 American National Elections Studies (ANES) focuses on two issues that are the essence of democratic elections: candidate preference and voter turnout. The core mission of the study is to inform explanations of election outcomes by providing the systematic and rigorous collection of data that support rich hypothesis testing, maximize methodological excellence, measure many variables, and promote comparisons across people, contexts, and time. The ANES serves this mission by providing researchers with a view of the political world through the eyes of ordinary citizens. This research continues the ANES mission for the next four years, but in new and better ways than before. It builds on an ANES history that has made the project a valuable resource to generations of social scientists. As has been true for past presidential elections in the ANES time series, a presidential year pre- and post-election study will be conducted using face-to-face interviewing of a nationally representative sample of adults. In addition, a parallel internet study will be conducted that will use a novel fresh-recruit-to-web sampling strategy. The results of this methodological innovation have the potential to revolutionize the conduct of high-reliability, high-response rate surveys by significantly reducing their costs and de-clustering their samples. The results of this methodological innovation may have implications for all large-scale individual-level data collection enterprises and ensure the long-term viability of this project, the General Social Survey, and others.In addition to methodological innovations, the 2016 survey continues to allow the examination of how a rapidly changing electorate, one that has experienced several years of divided government and extraordinarily high party unity, engages a new set of nominees in new electoral, economic, and social conditions. Besides continuing the times series, special emphases will be placed on the role of gender, the rapid growth of the Latino population, and how the growing levels of income inequality all impact the election. The results of this study will inform views and research perspectives of social scientists from a broad range of disciplines, as well as journalists, policy makers, and ordinary citizens.