Workshop: Decadal Climate Predictions: Improving Our Understanding of Processes and Mechanisms to Make Better Predictions; Aspen CO; June 7-12, 2015

研讨会：十年期气候预测：提高我们对过程和机制的理解，以做出更好的预测；

• 批准号: 1521503
• 负责人: John Katzenberger
• 金额: $ 2万
• 依托单位: Aspen Global Change Institute
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 项目类别: Standard Grant
• 财政年份: 2015
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 2015-05-15 至 2016-04-30
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://www.nsf.gov/awardsearch/showAward?AWD_ID=1521503&HistoricalAwards=false
• 关键词: Workshop; Decadal; Climate; Predictions; Improving

This workshop will bring together researchers who are currently promoting various types of idealized experiments and diagnostic studies to address this problem by individual scientists and groups, in order to compare their results, and formulate productive coordinated experiments that can become part of the experiment design for the decadal prediction experiments for the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6). In order to provide robust decadal climate predictions, the research community must improve the capabilities of decadal climate predictions. Improved understanding of the processes and mechanisms in the climate system that lead decadal climate variability is crucial. NSF funds will provide travel support of early career scientists at the workshop to be held in Aspen CO, June 7-12, 2015. The objective of this project is to bring together the World Climate Research Program Decadal Climate Prediction Panel to compare their results and formulate productive coordinated experiments to further the understanding regarding processes and mechanisms that could produce prediction skill on decadal timescales. Approximately 30 scientists from the DCPP, which is made up of the Working Group on Coupled Models and the Working Group on Seasonal to Interannual Prediction will participate from the United States as well as from key international modeling groups.

本次研讨会将汇集目前正在推动各种类型的理想化实验和诊断研究的研究人员，通过科学家个人和团体来解决这个问题，以便比较他们的结果，并制定富有成效的协调实验，这些实验可以成为耦合模式比较项目（CMIP6）年代际预测实验设计的一部分。为了提供可靠的年代际气候预测，研究界必须提高年代际气候预测的能力。提高对气候系统中导致年代际气候变率的过程和机制的了解至关重要。NSF基金将为参加2015年6月7日至12日在科罗拉多州阿斯彭举行的研讨会的早期职业科学家提供旅费支持。该项目的目标是汇集世界气候研究计划年代际气候预测小组，比较他们的结果并制定富有成效的协调实验，以进一步了解可以产生年代际时间尺度预测技能的过程和机制。DCPP由耦合模式工作组和季节至年际预测工作组组成，大约30名来自DCPP的科学家将来自美国以及主要的国际模式小组参加。