RAPID: Risk Perception, Threat, and Anxiety Decay in Lone-Wolf Terrorist Events in the US

RAPID：美国独狼恐怖事件中的风险认知、威胁和焦虑衰减

• 批准号: 1624296
• 负责人: Kent Portney
• 金额: $ 18.6万
• 依托单位: Texas A&M University
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 项目类别: Standard Grant
• 财政年份: 2016
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 2016-03-01 至 2018-02-28
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://www.nsf.gov/awardsearch/showAward?AWD_ID=1624296&HistoricalAwards=false
• 关键词: RAPID; Risk; Perception; Threat; Anxiety

This project studies risk perceptions among the American public regarding domestic terrorism, with a particular focus on so-called "lone-wolf" terrorist attacks. The study surveys a nationally representative sample of U.S. residents, then re-surveys them at a later time. This enables the investigators to study risk perceptions relating to domestic terrorism and, particularly, how those risk perceptions increase or decrease over time. The survey measures a number of characteristics associated with perceptions of various types of terrorism attacks, including so-called lone-wolf attacks. The second survey will measure the same characteristics approximately six months after the first survey. The combined data from the two surveys will contribute to a better understanding of the correlates of risk perceptions of terrorist events and how and why those perceptions change over time. Better understanding of the specific and potentially unique risk and threat perceptions associated with lone-wolf terrorist attacks has implications for public policy and institutional responses.More specifically, the project will employ a two-wave panel survey of risk perceptions relating to domestic terrorism among a nationally representative sample of U.S. residents. This two-wave design will enable the investigators to test theoretically and practically important hypotheses about the dynamics of perceptions of risk in lone-wolf attacks, how these perceptions change over a 6-month period of time, including the character of perceived risk "decay" and "social amplification," and how these changes compare with risk perceptions of other kinds of threat. The investigators hope to get the first wave into the field in as close time proximity as possible to the focusing events of 2015 in San Bernardino (December 2), Colorado Springs (November 17), Paris (November 13), Chattanooga (July 16), and Charleston (June 17). Wave 1 of the survey measures perceptions of various types of terrorism attacks, including an effort to identify which of a number of events respondents consider to be lone-wolf attacks. The questionnaire will be administered over the internet to a nationally representative sample. The wave 1 sample will consist of approximately 1,700 respondents. The wave 2 survey will consist of re-interviews of an estimated 1,200 of these 1,700 respondents 6 months after the initial interviews The difference in number of respondents is due to expected attrition.

该项目研究美国公众对国内恐怖主义的风险认知，特别侧重于所谓的“独狼”恐怖袭击。该研究调查了具有全国代表性的美国居民样本，然后在稍后重新调查他们。 这使调查人员能够研究与国内恐怖主义有关的风险认知，特别是这些风险认知如何随着时间的推移而增加或减少。该调查衡量了与对各种类型的恐怖主义袭击，包括所谓的孤狼袭击的看法有关的一些特征。第二次调查将在第一次调查后大约六个月测量相同的特征。这两项调查的合并数据将有助于更好地了解对恐怖主义事件的风险看法的相互关系，以及这些看法如何和为何随着时间的推移而变化。更好地了解与独狼式恐怖袭击相关的具体和潜在的独特风险和威胁感知对公共政策和机构反应具有影响。更具体地说，该项目将在具有全国代表性的美国居民样本中进行两波小组调查，了解与国内恐怖主义相关的风险感知。这种两波设计将使调查人员能够测试理论和实践上重要的假设，这些假设是关于孤狼袭击中风险感知的动态，这些感知在6个月的时间内如何变化，包括感知风险的特征“衰减”和“社会放大”，以及这些变化如何与其他类型威胁的风险感知进行比较。调查人员希望第一波进入现场的时间尽可能接近2015年在圣贝纳迪诺（12月2日）、科罗拉多斯普林斯（11月17日）、巴黎（11月13日）、查塔努加（7月16日）和查尔斯顿（6月17日）发生的聚焦事件。第一波调查衡量了人们对各种类型恐怖主义袭击的看法，包括努力确定受访者认为哪些事件是独狼式袭击。将通过互联网向具有全国代表性的样本发放调查表。第一波抽样将包括大约1，700名答卷人。第二波调查将包括在初次访谈后6个月对这1,700名受访者中的约1,200名进行重新访谈。受访者人数的差异是由于预期的自然减员。