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INFEWS/T2: Cyber-Based Decision Support Strategies to Achieve Consensus for FEW System Sustainability using Incentive and Policy Structures

INFEWS/T2：基于网络的决策支持策略，利用激励和政策结构达成 FEW 系统可持续性共识

基本信息

批准号：
1739551
负责人：
Amy Kaleita
金额：
$ 239.93万
依托单位：
Iowa State University
依托单位国家：
美国
项目类别：
Continuing Grant
财政年份：
2017
资助国家：
美国
起止时间：
2017-10-01 至 2024-09-30
项目状态：
已结题

来源：
https://www.nsf.gov/awardsearch/showAward?AWD_ID=1739551&HistoricalAwards=false
关键词：
INFEWS T2 Cyber Based Decision

项目摘要

The Midwest is quite different from other parts of the country in that little to no irrigation is required for farming. In fact, soils and topography in the Midwest, and particularly Iowa, trend toward waterlogged conditions. Farmers fertilize fields to maximize crop yield for both food and biofuel production, but a mismatch in timing between periods of high drainage water flux and nitrogen movement in early spring and crop uptake in the summer, results in excess nitrogen being transported through waterways to the Gulf of Mexico, causing detrimental environmental, societal and economic impacts. Driving much of the decision-making at local levels are policies and incentives implemented at higher levels, and vice versa, with no real understanding of the potential unintended consequences. This project aims to enable understanding of the impact of such policies and incentives on separate stakeholders associated with Food, Energy, and Water (FEW) sectors, as well as overarching system stakeholders, such as the federal government. More importantly, the research has the potential to impact the ways in which decisions are made in and about FEW system so as to ensure resilience and sustainability. The project focuses on research questions pertaining to understanding the FEW inter-dependencies, modeling the value statements of each FEW stakeholder, developing new multi-attribute utility models to enable consensus building among FEW stakeholders, enabling coordinated decision making through incentives and policies designed to achieve the desired behaviors at the FEW system level, and developing visualization and simulation-based decision support tools to support consensus building of stakeholders using the methods developed.

中西部地区与美国其他地区大不相同，那里的农业几乎不需要灌溉。事实上，中西部地区的土壤和地形，尤其是爱荷华州，都有积水的趋势。农民施肥是为了最大限度地提高粮食和生物燃料生产的作物产量，但早春排水通量和氮运动高的时期与夏季作物吸收的时间不匹配，导致过量的氮通过水路输送到墨西哥湾，造成有害的环境、社会和经济影响。推动地方一级决策的大部分是高层实施的政策和激励措施，反之亦然，对潜在的意外后果没有真正的了解。该项目旨在了解此类政策和激励措施对与食品、能源和水（FEW）部门相关的单独利益相关者以及联邦政府等总体系统利益相关者的影响。更重要的是，这项研究有可能影响在FEW系统中做出决策的方式，从而确保弹性和可持续性。该项目侧重于研究与理解FEW相互依赖关系有关的问题，为每个FEW利益相关者的价值陈述建模，开发新的多属性实用模型，以实现FEW利益相关者之间的共识，通过旨在实现FEW系统层面预期行为的激励和政策，实现协调决策。并开发基于可视化和仿真的决策支持工具，以支持使用所开发的方法建立利益相关者的共识。