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The formation of public opinion toward European integration: political rhetoric, party competition, and individual dispositions.

欧洲一体化舆论的形成：政治言论、政党竞争和个人倾向。

基本信息

批准号：
234275259
负责人：
Dr. Konstantin Vössing
金额：
--
依托单位：
Lehrbereich Vergleichende Analyse Politischer Systeme
依托单位国家：
德国
项目类别：
Research Grants
财政年份：
2013
资助国家：
德国
起止时间：
2012-12-31 至 2016-12-31
项目状态：
已结题

来源：
https://gepris.dfg.de/gepris/projekt/234275259?language=en
关键词：
formation public opinion toward European

项目摘要

I propose to conduct a series of seven political psychological experiments about the formation of public opinion toward European integration. My focus is on the influence that elites exercise on citizen attitudes through political rhetoric and party competition. I also plan to study how elite influence varies across individual dispositions that are known to be strongly associated with EU related public opinion, most importantly national identity and utilitarianism. My experimental findings will be extended through additional analyses of large scale data sets. The existing body of research relies almost exclusively on such observational data from public opinion surveys, media content analyses, and party manifesto codings. The shortage of experimental studies precludes valid conclusions about whether observed associations between elite characteristics and mass level opinion are the result of a bottom up process (citizens push elites to embrace certain positions) or a top down process (elites manipulate citizen views). An experimental approach allows for valid inferences about the direction of causality.Some prior contributions highlight the ability of elites to influence citizen views, while others emphasize the prevalence of attitudinal stability. This project attempts to determine the conditions under which public opinion about the EU is either malleable or securely rooted in individual dispositions. Experiments 1 and 4 study the interaction of national identity with different ways of portraying the EU. Experiment 7 analyzes how the effect of utilitarianism on EU attitudes is shaped by different configurations of party competition. Experiment 6 offers a test for the relative salience of utilitarianism and national identity in predicting EU attitudes. One overarching concern of the entire project, addressed directly in experiment 5, is to contribute more explicitly than prior work to general public opinion theories by comparing EU attitude formation to other domains. The emphasis of my research is on aspects of elite influence that have so far received no or only little attention. Experiments 4 and 5 study the cognitive processing of EU attitudes as an entirely untouched topic. I also examine various sources of elite influence that have not been studied in prior work, such as experts (experiment 1), individual politicians (experiments 2 and 3), groups of leaders (experiment 3), and abstract institutions (experiment 3). In terms of message content, I focus on political rhetoric in the form of political explanations (experiments 1, 2, 4, 5, and 6). The vast majority of existing research looks only at media effects such as priming or framing. Experiments 2, 3, 5, and 7 are concerned with the effects of partisan conflict, based on more sophisticated portrayals of party politics than those currently available in large scale data sets.

我建议进行一系列关于欧洲一体化民意形成的七个政治心理学实验。我的重点是精英通过政治言论和政党竞争对公民态度的影响。我还计划研究精英影响力如何因个人性格而异，众所周知，这些性格与欧盟相关的公众舆论（最重要的是国家认同和功利主义）密切相关。我的实验结果将通过对大规模数据集的额外分析来扩展。现有的研究机构几乎完全依赖于民意调查、媒体内容分析和政党宣言编码等观察数据。缺乏实验研究排除了有效的结论，即观察到的精英特征和群众水平的意见之间的关联是自下而上的过程（公民推动精英接受某些立场）或自上而下的过程（精英操纵公民的观点）的结果。一个实验的方法允许有效的推论因果关系的方向。一些先前的贡献突出了精英的能力，影响公民的意见，而其他人强调的态度稳定的流行。这个项目试图确定的条件下，公众舆论对欧盟是可塑性或安全地植根于个人的处置。实验1和实验4研究了国家认同与不同方式描绘欧盟的相互作用。实验7分析了功利主义对欧盟态度的影响如何通过不同的政党竞争配置来塑造。实验6提供了一个测试的相对突出的功利主义和国家认同在预测欧盟的态度。整个项目的一个首要问题，直接在实验5中解决，是通过比较欧盟的态度形成其他领域，比以前的工作更明确地贡献一般公众舆论理论。我的研究重点是精英影响力的各个方面，这些方面到目前为止还没有受到或很少受到关注。实验4和5研究欧盟态度的认知加工作为一个完全未触及的话题。我还研究了各种来源的精英影响力，没有在以前的工作，如专家（实验1），个别政治家（实验2和3），领导人的团体（实验3），和抽象的机构（实验3）。在信息内容方面，我侧重于政治修辞的政治解释的形式（实验1，2，4，5和6）。绝大多数现有的研究只着眼于媒体效应，如启动或框架。实验2，3，5和7关注党派冲突的影响，基于比目前大规模数据集更复杂的政党政治描绘。