RAPID: Ocean Forcing for Ice Sheet Models for the IPCC Sixth Assessment Report

RAPID：IPCC 第六次评估报告中冰盖模型的海洋强迫

• 批准号: 1916566
• 负责人: Fiammetta Straneo
• 金额: $ 6.47万
• 依托单位: University of California-San Diego Scripps Inst of Oceanography
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 项目类别: Standard Grant
• 财政年份: 2019
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 2019-02-15 至 2020-01-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://www.nsf.gov/awardsearch/showAward?AWD_ID=1916566&HistoricalAwards=false
• 关键词: RAPID; Ocean; Forcing; Ice; Sheet

This research will facilitate better connections between models of ice sheets and the ocean-atmosphere system and improve sea level rise projections for the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)'s upcoming sixth Assessment Report (AR6). During the latest meeting of the international consortium of scientists participating in the Ice Sheet Modeling Intercomparison Project (ISMIP6), attendees agreed upon new information that will be needed to understand how ocean conditions may interact with the ice sheet models of Greenland and Antarctica. Because this information is required within the next several months to meet deadlines for the next Assessment Report, this Rapid Response (RAPID) project is both timely and urgent to help society plan for and respond to sea level rise. It will support two junior scientists, a postdoctoral researcher and a research associate, and they will benefit from interaction with and exposure to the international ice sheet modeling community. This project will support a community effort to derive ocean forcings for ice sheet models for climate projections. It is time sensitive because of the need to run ice sheet model simulations and publish results by the end of 2019 for the IPCC sixth Assessment Report. At the same time, developments in ice sheet-wide model dynamics that incorporate ocean forcing have only recently become available. This study will lead to a synthesis of the state of knowledge of ocean forcing on Greenland's glaciers and Antarctica's ice shelves and optimal parameterizations that can be implemented given model constraints. In addition to immediate application in the sixth Assessment Report, it is expected that this work will lay the foundation for a similar approach in the future when full coupling of ocean-atmosphere and ice sheet models are possible.This award reflects NSF's statutory mission and has been deemed worthy of support through evaluation using the Foundation's intellectual merit and broader impacts review criteria.

这项研究将促进冰盖模型与海洋-大气系统之间的更好联系，并改善政府间气候变化专门委员会（IPCC）即将发布的第六次评估报告（AR 6）的海平面上升预测。在参加冰盖建模相互比较项目（ISMIP 6）的国际科学家联盟的最新会议上，与会者就了解海洋条件如何与格陵兰岛和南极洲的冰盖模型相互作用所需的新信息达成了一致。由于需要在未来几个月内提供这些信息，以满足下一次评估报告的最后期限，因此这个快速反应（RAPID）项目对于帮助社会规划和应对海平面上升既及时又紧迫。它将支持两名初级科学家，一名博士后研究员和一名研究助理，他们将受益于与国际冰盖建模界的互动和接触。该项目将支持社区为气候预测的冰盖模型推导海洋作用力的努力。这是时间敏感的，因为需要运行冰盖模型模拟，并在2019年底之前为IPCC第六次评估报告发布结果。与此同时，纳入海洋强迫的冰盖范围模型动力学的发展直到最近才出现。这项研究将导致对格陵兰冰川和南极洲冰架的海洋作用力的知识状况的综合，以及在给定模型限制的情况下可以实施的最佳参数化。除了在第六次评估报告中立即应用外，预计这项工作将为未来海洋-大气和冰盖模型的完全耦合奠定基础。该奖项反映了NSF的法定使命，并被认为值得通过使用基金会的智力价值和更广泛的影响审查标准进行评估来支持。

项目成果

Estimating Greenland tidewater glacier retreat driven by submarine melting

• DOI: 10.5194/tc-13-2489-2019
• 发表时间: 2019-09
• 期刊: The Cryosphere
• 作者: D. Slater;F. Straneo;D. Felikson;C. Little;H. Goelzer;X. Fettweis;J. Holte

Twenty-first century ocean forcing of the Greenland ice sheet for modelling of sea level contribution

• DOI: 10.5194/tc-14-985-2020
• 发表时间: 2020-03
• 期刊: The Cryosphere
• 作者: D. Slater;D. Felikson;F. Straneo;H. Goelzer;Christopher M. Little;M. Morlighem;X. Fettweis;S. Nowicki-S

CMIP5 model selection for ISMIP6 ice sheet model forcing: Greenland and Antarctica

• DOI: 10.5194/tc-14-855-2020
• 发表时间: 2020-03-06
• 期刊: CRYOSPHERE
• 影响因子: 5.2
• 作者: Barthel, Alice;Agosta, Cecile;Bracegirdle, Thomas J.
• 通讯作者: Bracegirdle, Thomas J.