Belmont Forum Collaborative Research: Rapid Arctic environmental Changes: implications for well-being, resilience and Evolution of Arctic communities (RACE)

该奖项为参与由55个国家通过贝尔蒙特论坛发起的全球变化研究项目的美国研究人员提供支持。贝尔蒙特论坛是一个研究资助组织的联盟，致力于支持跨学科方法来应对全球环境变化的挑战和机遇。它的目的是通过协调和调动国际资源，加速提供最迫切需要的国际研究，以消除可持续发展的关键障碍。每个伙伴国在一个联盟中为它们的研究人员提供资金，以减轻对跨越国际边界的资金的需求。这种方法有助于有效利用国家资源，支持对全球相关主题的优秀研究，最好通过多国方法解决，同时认识到全球挑战需要全球解决方案。在这一合作研究行动中，合作机构为研究项目提供了支持，重点关注快速变化的北极的复原力。科学家和利益攸关方组成的综合团队将解决北极复原力理解和行动的关键领域。这种学术和非学术知识系统的合作构成了一种跨学科的方法，不仅可以促进对北极复原力基本原理的理解，还可以促进行动，为决策提供信息，并转化为复原力的解决方案。该奖项为美国研究人员在至少三个参与国的合作伙伴组成的联盟中进行合作提供支持。RACE项目研究北极地区快速气候和环境变化对基础设施、泛北极和区域人口动态的影响。通过使用来自现场和卫星观测的最佳可用数据集以及再分析与气候模型模拟，该项目将开发改进的北极社会指标区域评估，进而用于预测北极社区的人口动态以及人口和生活质量趋势。大规模气候诊断和预测的结果将首次被使用并转化为社会指标，并通过使用社会经济和人口模型进一步转化为人口变量，从而提供准确的北极人口动态区域预测，而目前通常只依赖于经济预测。该项目的结果将提供有关正在发生和未来的气候和环境变化的关键信息，评估这些变化对社区福祉的影响，以及气候介导的泛北极和区域人口动态的预测。这些信息对于制定21世纪北极和泛北极地区可持续社会经济发展战略至关重要。该奖项反映了美国国家科学基金会的法定使命，并通过使用基金会的知识价值和更广泛的影响审查标准进行评估，被认为值得支持。

This award provides support to U.S. researchers participating in a project competitively selected by a 55-country initiative on global change research through the Belmont Forum. The Belmont Forum is a consortium of research funding organizations focused on support for transdisciplinary approaches to global environmental change challenges and opportunities. It aims to accelerate delivery of the international research most urgently needed to remove critical barriers to sustainability by aligning and mobilizing international resources. Each partner country provides funding for their researchers within a consortium to alleviate the need for funds to cross international borders. This approach facilitates effective leveraging of national resources to support excellent research on topics of global relevance best tackled through a multinational approach, recognizing that global challenges need global solutions.Working together in this Collaborative Research Action, the partner agencies have provided support for research projects that focus on Resilience in a Rapidly Changing Arctic. Integrated teams of scientists and stakeholders will address key areas of arctic resilience understanding and action. This collaboration of academic and non-academic knowledge systems constitutes a transdisciplinary approach that will advance not only understanding of the fundamentals of arctic resilience but also spur action, inform decision-making, and translate into solutions for resilience. This award provides support for the U.S. researchers to cooperate in consortia that consist of partners from at least three of the participating countries. The RACE project addresses the impacts of rapid climate and environmental changes in the Arctic on infrastructure and pan-Arctic and regional population dynamics. By using best available datasets from in-situ and satellite observations and re-analyses together with climate model simulations, the project will develop improved regional assessments of Arctic Social Indicators, which in turn, will be used for projections of population dynamics as well as demographic and life quality trends of Arctic communities. For the first time results of large-scale climate diagnostics and projections will be used and translated into social indicators and further into demographic variables by using socioeconomic and demographic models, thus providing accurate regional projections of the Arctic population dynamics which presently are routinely relying exclusively on economy forecasts. Results of this project will provide critical information about on-going and future climate and environmental changes, assessments of the impact on these changes on community well-being, and projections of climate-mediated pan-Arctic and regional population dynamics. This information is critical for building strategies for sustainable social-economic development in the Arctic and pan-Arctic regions in the 21st century.This award reflects NSF's statutory mission and has been deemed worthy of support through evaluation using the Foundation's intellectual merit and broader impacts review criteria.