Epistemically feasible choice: implications for sustainable risk management

这个项目的目的是检查程序决策原则，将产生更好的选择的情况下，由于认识的局限性，标准决策理论提供了一个不充分的指导。个人和决策者必须做出决定，即使他们不能完全意识到所有相关的可能性，也不能完全理解他们尚未经历的后果。这方面的例子包括关于结婚和生育的个人决定、关于复杂环境问题的公共政策决定以及关于资助科学研究的决定。该项目的预期成果将是一个纳入复原力、可持续性和变革经验原则的正式决策理论模型。

The aim of this project is to examine procedural decision principles that will yield better choices in circumstances where, because of epistemic limitations, standard decision theory provides an inadequate guide. Individuals and policy-makers must make decisions even though they cannot be fully aware of all of the relevant possibilities or fully understand consequences they have not yet experienced. Examples include individual decisions about marriage and childbearing, public policy decisions about complex environmental problems and decisions on funding scientific research. The expected outcome of the project will be a formal model of decision theory incorporating principles of resilience, sustainability and transformative experience.