CAREER: Globalization, Social Stability, and Inclusion in Authoritarian Citizenship

职业生涯：全球化、社会稳定和融入威权公民身份经济全球化给拥有跨国公司的政府带来了许多利益冲突。在民主国家，政府经常提供更大的福利和再分配，以补偿受到全球化影响的群体。然而，在没有成熟的利益集团代表的非民主国家，人们对全球化如何影响政府提供福利和全球化引发的不平等所引发的抗议活动的了解要少得多。这个项目试图了解在威权国家的外国投资何时增加了政府的再分配，以及国际生产链和当地政府政策如何推动或阻止抗议活动。该项目的调查结果将有助于更好地了解威权政府如何适应全球化以及在海外开展业务的跨国公司所面临的国际商业环境。该项目有两个具体目标。第一个目标是确定经济全球化增加获得威权性再分配机会的条件。该项目使用政府企业注册记录的文本即数据技术，以及在时间序列横截面数据匹配模型中对外商投资企业的代表性调查，对外国直接投资进行分解，以调查以下假设：外资企业的市场导向通过更高的政府支出推动福利再分配的慷慨，但外国企业的技能依赖决定谁获得再分配机会。第二个目标是确定增加获得福利再分配的机会与社会动荡事件之间的关系。该项目使用社交媒体上的时间序列横断面模型和非政府组织关于包括劳工和社会正义抗议在内的社会抗议活动的报告，不仅确定了获得福利再分配的相对机会与街头抗议活动的关系，而且还确定了扩大获得福利的机会是否会减少社会动荡。该项目的发现将推进关于核心问题的基础研究，这些问题涉及政府对全球化的政策反应，全球化与社会动荡的关系，以及在威权国家运营的跨国公司的政治经济。该奖项反映了NSF的法定使命，并通过使用基金会的智力优势和更广泛的影响审查标准进行评估，被认为值得支持。

CAREER: Globalization, Social Stability, and Inclusion in Authoritarian Citizenship Economic globalization creates many conflicting interests for governments that host multi-national corporations. In democracies, governments often provide greater welfare and redistribution to compensate groups harmed by globalization’s impact. In non-democracies without well established interest group representation, however, much less is known about how globalization affects both government provision of welfare and protests driven by globalization-induced inequalities. This project seeks to understand when foreign investment in authoritarian countries increases government redistribution and how both international production chains and local government policies drive or deter protests. The findings of the project will help to better understand how authoritarian governments adapt to globalization and the international business environment faced by multinational corporations operating abroad. The project has two specific goals. The first goal is to identify the conditions under which economic globalization increases access to authoritarian redistribution. Using text-as-data techniques on government firm registration records and a representative survey of foreign-invested firms in a matching model for time-series cross-sectional data, the project disaggregates foreign direct investment to investigate the hypotheses that market orientation of foreign-funded firms drives the generosity of welfare redistribution through higher government spending, but skill-dependence of foreign firms determines who gains access to redistribution. The second goal is to identify the relationship between increased access to welfare redistribution and incidents of social unrest. Using time-series cross-sectional models on social media and non-governmental organization reports on social protests including labor and social justice protests, the project identifies not only how relative access to welfare redistribution relates to street protests, but also if expanded access to welfare decreases social unrest. The findings of the project will advance basic research on central questions relating to government policy responses to globalization, the relationship of globalization to social unrest, and the political economy of multi-national firms operating in authoritarian countries.This award reflects NSF's statutory mission and has been deemed worthy of support through evaluation using the Foundation's intellectual merit and broader impacts review criteria.