Using Emergent Constraints to Reduce Uncertainty in Regional Climate Change

利用紧急约束减少区域气候变化的不确定性

基本信息

  • 批准号:
    2303610
  • 负责人:
  • 金额:
    $ 89.95万
  • 依托单位:
  • 依托单位国家:
    美国
  • 项目类别:
    Standard Grant
  • 财政年份:
    2023
  • 资助国家:
    美国
  • 起止时间:
    2023-07-01 至 2026-06-30
  • 项目状态:
    未结题

项目摘要

There is a growing need for robust projections of future climate change at spatial scales relevant to policymakers and stakeholders. However, our understanding of the many risks associated with climate change at these regional scales is often limited by uncertainty in climate model projections (i.e., different climate models give different answers about future climate). The range of answers across the models is particularly large when it comes to changes in the water cycle, which are of great societal relevance. Here, the investigators will rely on a leading climate model evaluation technique that uses observations of the current climate to narrow the range of climate model answers regarding future changes to precipitation, drought, and streamflow across regions of the globe. Moreover, this work will expand our knowledge of the key sources of model disagreement to inform areas of future development for climate modeling centers. The investigators will also, for the first time, apply this methodology to a collection of high-resolution climate model simulations covering the Western United States. These simulations better represent the complex topography of the region than global climate models, and thus allow for more reliable depictions of mountain snowpack, which plays a pivotal role in the region’s water cycle. This research will seek to reduce uncertainty in the snowpack’s response to future warming and apply this knowledge to better understand risks associated with freshwater availability and drought.By focusing on climate metrics relating to the water cycle, which have enormous implications in water-stressed regions like the Western United States, this research will be valuable to a variety of constituencies outside the scientific community. Building off existing stakeholder collaborations, the investigators will engage with several groups across the Western United States to help shape the research so that the results have broad societal relevance. This project will provide training opportunities for a graduate student and a postdoctoral scholar. Additionally, the investigators will convene sessions at the American Geophysical Union’s Fall Meeting to catalyze discussions regarding relevant research. Lastly, a virtual workshop involving representatives from water resource management, wild land and fire management, and public health communities from across the Western United States will be held to disseminate the research as a capstone to the project.This award reflects NSF's statutory mission and has been deemed worthy of support through evaluation using the Foundation's intellectual merit and broader impacts review criteria.
越来越需要在与决策者和利害关系方相关的空间尺度上对未来气候变化进行强有力的预测。然而,我们对这些区域尺度上与气候变化相关的许多风险的理解往往受到气候模型预测的不确定性的限制(即,不同的气候模式对未来气候给出不同的答案)。当涉及到水循环的变化时,这些模型的答案范围特别大,这具有很大的社会意义。在这里,研究人员将依靠一种领先的气候模型评估技术,该技术利用对当前气候的观测来缩小气候模型对未来地球仪各地区降水、干旱和径流变化的回答范围。此外,这项工作将扩大我们对模型分歧的关键来源的了解,为气候模拟中心的未来发展提供信息。研究人员还将首次将这种方法应用于覆盖美国西部的高分辨率气候模型模拟。这些模拟比全球气候模型更好地代表了该地区复杂的地形,从而可以更可靠地预测山区积雪,这在该地区的水循环中起着关键作用。这项研究将寻求减少积雪对未来变暖的反应的不确定性,并将这些知识应用于更好地了解与淡水供应和干旱相关的风险。通过关注与水循环相关的气候指标,这对美国西部等水资源紧张地区具有巨大影响,这项研究将对科学界以外的各种群体具有价值。在现有利益相关者合作的基础上,研究人员将与美国西部的多个团体合作,帮助塑造研究,使研究结果具有广泛的社会相关性。该项目将为一名研究生和一名博士后学者提供培训机会。此外,研究人员将在美国地球物理联盟秋季会议上召开会议,以促进有关相关研究的讨论。最后,来自美国西部的水资源管理、荒地和火灾管理以及公共卫生界的代表将参加一个虚拟研讨会,以传播该研究成果,作为该项目的顶点。该奖项反映了NSF的法定使命,并通过使用基金会的知识价值和更广泛的影响审查标准进行评估,被认为值得支持。

项目成果

期刊论文数量(0)
专著数量(0)
科研奖励数量(0)
会议论文数量(0)
专利数量(0)

数据更新时间:{{ journalArticles.updateTime }}

{{ item.title }}
{{ item.translation_title }}
  • DOI:
    {{ item.doi }}
  • 发表时间:
    {{ item.publish_year }}
  • 期刊:
  • 影响因子:
    {{ item.factor }}
  • 作者:
    {{ item.authors }}
  • 通讯作者:
    {{ item.author }}

数据更新时间:{{ journalArticles.updateTime }}

{{ item.title }}
  • 作者:
    {{ item.author }}

数据更新时间:{{ monograph.updateTime }}

{{ item.title }}
  • 作者:
    {{ item.author }}

数据更新时间:{{ sciAawards.updateTime }}

{{ item.title }}
  • 作者:
    {{ item.author }}

数据更新时间:{{ conferencePapers.updateTime }}

{{ item.title }}
  • 作者:
    {{ item.author }}

数据更新时间:{{ patent.updateTime }}

Alexander Hall其他文献

OUTCOMES FOLLOWING ESOPHAGEAL STENTING WITH AND WITHOUT FIXATION, A SINGLE-CENTER CHARACTERIZATION STUDY
  • DOI:
    10.1016/j.gie.2024.04.1262
  • 发表时间:
    2024-06-01
  • 期刊:
  • 影响因子:
  • 作者:
    Thomas Checketts;Omar Alaber;Karishma Mistry;Alexander Hall;Ian Ng;Saurabh Chandan;Kalyana Nandipati
  • 通讯作者:
    Kalyana Nandipati
356 ROBOTIC AND MINIMALLY INVASIVE ESOPHAGECTOMY AND NEOADJUVANT TREATMENT RELATED DOWNSTAGING ARE ASSOCIATED WITH IMPROVED OVERALL SURVIVAL IN PATIENTS WITH ESOPHAGEAL ADENOCARCINOMA: A NATIONAL CANCER DATABASE STUDY (NCDB)
  • DOI:
    10.1016/s0016-5085(24)04585-2
  • 发表时间:
    2024-05-18
  • 期刊:
  • 影响因子:
  • 作者:
    Eduardo A. Canto;Matthew Reilly;Alexander Hall;Ryan W. Walters;Kalyana Nandipati
  • 通讯作者:
    Kalyana Nandipati
Effects of surgical approach and downstaging in esophageal adenocarcinoma patients treated with neoadjuvant chemotherapy: a 2010–2020 National Cancer Database (NCDB) study
Approximate Discovery of Random Graphs
随机图的近似发现
Mo1185 - Recent Trends in Performance of Early Esophagogastroduodenoscopy in Patients with Non-Variceal Gastrointestinal Bleeding: A Nationwide Study
  • DOI:
    10.1016/s0016-5085(18)32466-1
  • 发表时间:
    2018-05-01
  • 期刊:
  • 影响因子:
  • 作者:
    Thamer Kassim;Alexander Hall;Ryan W. Walters;Jonathan J. Gapp;Avanija Buddam;Dina Ahmad;Rajani Rangray;Savio Reddymasu
  • 通讯作者:
    Savio Reddymasu

Alexander Hall的其他文献

{{ item.title }}
{{ item.translation_title }}
  • DOI:
    {{ item.doi }}
  • 发表时间:
    {{ item.publish_year }}
  • 期刊:
  • 影响因子:
    {{ item.factor }}
  • 作者:
    {{ item.authors }}
  • 通讯作者:
    {{ item.author }}

{{ truncateString('Alexander Hall', 18)}}的其他基金

Reducing Uncertainty Surrounding Climate Change Using Emergent Constraints
利用紧急约束减少气候变化的不确定性
  • 批准号:
    1543268
  • 财政年份:
    2016
  • 资助金额:
    $ 89.95万
  • 项目类别:
    Standard Grant
Collaborative Research: Do Microenvironments Govern Macroecology?
合作研究:微环境支配宏观生态吗?
  • 批准号:
    1065853
  • 财政年份:
    2011
  • 资助金额:
    $ 89.95万
  • 项目类别:
    Standard Grant
Collaborative Research: VOCALS--Climate Simulation and Operational Forecasting Using a Regional Earth System Modeling Framework
合作研究:VOCALS——使用区域地球系统建模框架进行气候模拟和业务预测
  • 批准号:
    0747533
  • 财政年份:
    2008
  • 资助金额:
    $ 89.95万
  • 项目类别:
    Continuing Grant
Understanding and Constraining Future Arctic Climate Change
了解和限制未来的北极气候变化
  • 批准号:
    0714083
  • 财政年份:
    2007
  • 资助金额:
    $ 89.95万
  • 项目类别:
    Standard Grant
Climate Change in the Southern Hemisphere Extratropics
南半球温带气候变化
  • 批准号:
    0735056
  • 财政年份:
    2007
  • 资助金额:
    $ 89.95万
  • 项目类别:
    Continuing Grant
Collaborative Research: Polar Amplification and High-Latitude Climate Sensitivity in Global Climate Models
合作研究:全球气候模型中的极地放大和高纬度气候敏感性
  • 批准号:
    0305098
  • 财政年份:
    2003
  • 资助金额:
    $ 89.95万
  • 项目类别:
    Continuing Grant
CAREER: Simulating, Understanding, and Quantifying Albedo Feedback
职业:模拟、理解和量化反照率反馈
  • 批准号:
    0135136
  • 财政年份:
    2002
  • 资助金额:
    $ 89.95万
  • 项目类别:
    Standard Grant

相似国自然基金

推广的Hubbard模型中的emergent现象研究
  • 批准号:
    11474061
  • 批准年份:
    2014
  • 资助金额:
    90.0 万元
  • 项目类别:
    面上项目
关于Emergent宇宙的相关研究
  • 批准号:
    11175093
  • 批准年份:
    2011
  • 资助金额:
    60.0 万元
  • 项目类别:
    面上项目

相似海外基金

DREAM Sentinels: Multiplexable and programmable cell-free ADAR-mediated RNA sensing platform (cfRADAR) for quick and scalable response to emergent viral threats
DREAM Sentinels:可复用且可编程的无细胞 ADAR 介导的 RNA 传感平台 (cfRADAR),可快速、可扩展地响应突发病毒威胁
  • 批准号:
    2319913
  • 财政年份:
    2024
  • 资助金额:
    $ 89.95万
  • 项目类别:
    Standard Grant
Emergent Behaviors of Dense Active Suspensions Under Shear
剪切下致密主动悬架的突现行为
  • 批准号:
    2327094
  • 财政年份:
    2024
  • 资助金额:
    $ 89.95万
  • 项目类别:
    Standard Grant
CAREER: Emergent quantum phenomena in epitaxial thin films of topological Dirac semimetal and its heterostructures
职业:拓扑狄拉克半金属及其异质结构外延薄膜中的量子现象
  • 批准号:
    2339309
  • 财政年份:
    2024
  • 资助金额:
    $ 89.95万
  • 项目类别:
    Continuing Grant
CAREER: Next-generation Logic, Memory, and Agile Microwave Devices Enabled by Spin Phenomena in Emergent Quantum Materials
职业:由新兴量子材料中的自旋现象实现的下一代逻辑、存储器和敏捷微波器件
  • 批准号:
    2339723
  • 财政年份:
    2024
  • 资助金额:
    $ 89.95万
  • 项目类别:
    Continuing Grant
Understanding quantum emergent phenomena in Shastry-Sutherland model systems
了解 Shastry-Sutherland 模型系统中的量子涌现现象
  • 批准号:
    2327555
  • 财政年份:
    2024
  • 资助金额:
    $ 89.95万
  • 项目类别:
    Standard Grant
Emergent organocopper complexes as robust catalysts for electrosynthesis
新兴有机铜配合物作为电合成的强大催化剂
  • 批准号:
    DP240101902
  • 财政年份:
    2024
  • 资助金额:
    $ 89.95万
  • 项目类别:
    Discovery Projects
CAREER: Transferring biological networks emergent principles to drone swarm collaborative algorithms
职业:将生物网络新兴原理转移到无人机群协作算法
  • 批准号:
    2339373
  • 财政年份:
    2024
  • 资助金额:
    $ 89.95万
  • 项目类别:
    Continuing Grant
CAREER: Designing and Probing Emergent Phases with Tunable Magnons in Graphene
职业:利用石墨烯中的可调磁振子设计和探测涌现相
  • 批准号:
    2339623
  • 财政年份:
    2024
  • 资助金额:
    $ 89.95万
  • 项目类别:
    Continuing Grant
Discovery of Compounds containing Frustrated Vanadium Nets with Emergent Electronic Phenomena
发现含有受阻钒网的化合物并产生电子现象
  • 批准号:
    2350519
  • 财政年份:
    2024
  • 资助金额:
    $ 89.95万
  • 项目类别:
    Standard Grant
NSF-BSF: Emergent Rheology of Blends Containing Supramolecular Polymers
NSF-BSF:含有超分子聚合物的共混物的新兴流变学
  • 批准号:
    2409077
  • 财政年份:
    2024
  • 资助金额:
    $ 89.95万
  • 项目类别:
    Standard Grant
{{ showInfoDetail.title }}

作者:{{ showInfoDetail.author }}

知道了