权益分类	功能权益	普通用户	{{item.name}}会员
{{category.name}}	{{benefitItem.name}}

Current and future socio-hydrological responses on climate variability and climate change in the Ayeyarwady River Basin, Myanmar

缅甸伊洛瓦底江流域当前和未来对气候变率和气候变化的社会水文响应

基本信息

批准号：
288776631
负责人：
Professorin Dr.-Ing. Mariele Evers
金额：
--
依托单位：
Geographisches Institut
依托单位国家：
德国
项目类别：
Research Grants
财政年份：
2015
资助国家：
德国
起止时间：
2014-12-31 至 2016-12-31
项目状态：
已结题

来源：
https://gepris.dfg.de/gepris/projekt/288776631?language=en
关键词：
Current future socio hydrological responses

项目摘要

The Ayeyarwady River basin covers 61 % of Myanmar´s landmass and provides a large number of ecosystem services. The river is the lifeline of the nation because it serves for transportation, water supply, irrigation, fishing and others. Regional climate variabilities have severe hydrological effects and can cause extreme floods and droughts in the climate sensitive river basin. This is especially the case for the delta and the central dry zone, which are the most densely populated areas of the country. Due to the expected climate change, the natural influencing parameters will possibly change significantly, which can have major impacts on regional water resources, which in turn, can modify also the degree of human interventions. All these changes are affecting and will affect the socio-hydrological system, the riparian´s livelihoods, their wellbeing and the river basin ecosystems in a so far unknown way. Research on socio-hydrologic responses to climate variability and expected climate change does not exist for the country. We want to address the question, how climate variabilities, which cause floods and droughts, interplay with the river basin hydrology and human wellbeing and society in the delta and the dry zone of the Ayeyarwady River basin. With this proposal we apply for a 9 months pilot phase in order to conduct a thorough data collection, sound literature review and data processing. Furthermore, the identification of case study sites during a field trip is a central objective for the first working step. Another fundamental goal is the establishment of (academic) cooperation in Myanmar. Based on our findings and data outcome from this pilot study we will then apply for a 36 months follow-up proposal aiming at increasing the knowledge of climate variability and socio-hydrologic responses in the delta and the dry zone of the Ayeyarwady basin and close the gap of socio-hydrologic and climatic research in the entire river basin.

伊洛瓦底江流域覆盖缅甸陆地面积的61%，提供了大量的生态系统服务。河流是国家的生命线，因为它具有交通、供水、灌溉、渔业等功能。区域气候变化会产生严重的水文影响，并可能在气候敏感的流域造成极端洪水和干旱。对于该国人口最稠密的三角洲和中部干旱地区尤其如此。由于预期的气候变化，自然影响参数可能会发生显着变化，这可能对区域水资源产生重大影响，进而改变人类干预的程度。所有这些变化正在并将以一种迄今为止未知的方式影响社会水文系统、河岸生计、福祉和流域生态系统。该国尚不存在对气候变化和预期气候变化的社会水文响应的研究。我们想要解决的问题是，导致洪水和干旱的气候变化如何与伊洛瓦底江流域三角洲和干旱地区的流域水文以及人类福祉和社会相互作用。根据该提案，我们申请了为期 9 个月的试点阶段，以便进行彻底的数据收集、合理的文献审查和数据处理。此外，在实地考察期间确定案例研究地点是第一步工作的核心目标。另一个基本目标是在缅甸建立（学术）合作。根据本次试点研究的发现和数据结果，我们将申请一项为期 36 个月的后续提案，旨在增加对三角洲和伊洛瓦底江流域干旱地区气候变化和社会水文响应的了解，并缩小整个流域社会水文和气候研究的差距。