The German Party Membership Study 2017: Party Memberships in Change

2017 年德国党员身份研究：变革中的党员身份

• 批准号: 318815579
• 负责人: Professor Dr. Markus Klein
• 金额: --
• 依托单位: Institut für Politikwissenschaft
• 依托单位国家: 德国
• 项目类别: Research Grants
• 财政年份: 2016
• 资助国家: 德国
• 起止时间: 2015-12-31 至 2019-12-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://gepris.dfg.de/gepris/projekt/318815579?language=en
• 关键词: German; Party; Membership; Study; 2017

Following on from the Potsdam Party Membership Study 1998 and the German Party Membership Study 2009, the German Party Membership Study 2017 makes an important contribution to a long-term social documentation of German party membership. The postal surveys of representative samples of members of the CDU, the CSU, the SPD, Die Linke, the Greens and the FDP enable a description of changes in German party membership over a period of almost two decades. They enable processes of change to be studied with respect to the sociostructural, psychographic and behavioural attributes of party members. The German Party Membership Study 2017 thus provides descriptive information that is of enormous significance both to academic research into political parties and to politics in general as well as the political work of particular parties. The German Party Membership Study 2017 also enables an empirical analysis of key scholarly interpretations regarding changes in the membership of German parties. These interpretations hypothesise that changes in membership occur as a result of the alternation of generations. However, it is only possible to analyse these kinds of generational dynamics using sophisticated age-period-cohort models, a meaningful assessment of which is possible only with data that has been collected at a minimum of three sufficiently distant points in time. Hence, one key goal of the German Party Membership Study 2017 is to enable an analysis of age-, period- and cohort-specific effects of changes in German party membership. The German Party Membership Study 2017 also empirically analyses determinants of people joining and leaving parties. Alongside the deaths of party members, this is a key factor in the changing composition of German party membership. An understanding of the mechanisms behind decisions to join or leave a party are therefore of fundamental importance for understanding changes in membership. In order to be able to empirically analyse these decisions, former and current party members as well as individuals who have never been a member of a political party are interviewed in a disproportionally stratified population-based telephone survey. The German Party Membership Study 2017 proceeds on the basis of the normative premise that political parties make an indispensable and irreplaceable contribution to the functioning of modern representative democracies. Against this background, the overarching aim of the project is to study the effects of changes in membership on the functioning of German parties and their ability to ensure social integration, and thereby identify problems and propose solutions.

继1998年波茨坦党员研究和2009年德国党员研究之后，2017年德国党员研究为德国党员的长期社会文献做出了重要贡献。对基民盟、基社盟、社民党、左翼党、绿党和自民党成员的代表性样本进行的邮政调查，描述了近20年来德国政党成员的变化。它们使人们能够从党员的社会结构、心理特征和行为特征方面研究变革进程。因此，《2017年德国党员研究》提供的描述性信息对政党学术研究、一般政治以及特定政党的政治工作都具有重大意义。《2017年德国政党成员研究》还对有关德国政党成员变化的关键学术解释进行了实证分析。这些解释假设成员的变化是世代交替的结果。然而，只有使用复杂的年龄-时期-群组模型才有可能分析这类世代动态，而只有使用至少在三个足够远的时间点收集的数据才有可能对这类模型进行有意义的评估。因此，2017年德国党员研究的一个关键目标是分析德国党员变化的年龄、时期和群体效应。《2017年德国党员研究》还对人们加入和离开政党的决定因素进行了实证分析。除了党员的死亡，这是德国党员构成变化的一个关键因素。因此，了解决定加入或离开一个政党的机制对于了解党员的变化至关重要。为了能够对这些决定进行实证分析，在一次按人口分层的电话调查中，对以前和现在的党员以及从未加入过政党的个人进行了访谈。《2017年德国党员研究》的研究基础是规范性前提，即政党对现代代议制民主的运作做出了不可或缺和不可替代的贡献。在此背景下，该项目的首要目标是研究成员组成的变化对德国政党运作的影响及其确保社会融合的能力，从而查明问题并提出解决办法。

项目成果

Indian Summer - Party Affiliation in the 21st Century

小阳春——21世纪的党性

• DOI: 10.15488/10247
• 发表时间: 2020
• 作者: Becker;Philipp
• 通讯作者: Philipp

Getting in, moving up, dropping out. The threefold social selectivity of participation in political parties – an empirical analysis of party members, former party members and the general public in Germany in 2017

入党、晋升、退出政党参与的三重社会选择性——2017年德国党员、前党员和公众的实证分析

• DOI: 10.1080/23745118.2020.1736816
• 发表时间: 2017
• 期刊: European Politics and Society
• 作者: Springer;Frederik ; Klein;Markus ; Lüdecke;Yvonne ; Becker;Philipp ; Czeczinski; Schmidt;Bastian
• 通讯作者: Bastian

Die Sozialstruktur der deutschen Parteimitgliedschaften. Empirische Befunde der Deutschen Parteimitgliederstudien 1998, 2009 und 2017

德国党员的社会结构 1998年、2009年和2017年德国党员研究的实证结果

• DOI: 10.5771/0340-1758-2019-1-81
• 发表时间: 2019
• 期刊: Zeitschrift für Parlamentsfragen
• 作者: Markus ; Becker;Philipp ; Czeczinski; Lüdecke;Yvonne ; Schmidt;Bastian ; Springer;Frederik
• 通讯作者: Frederik