Refugees: Labor Market Integration and Impact on Natives

难民：劳动力市场一体化及其对当地人的影响

• 批准号: 387497439
• 负责人: Professor Dr. Herbert Brücker
• 金额: --
• 依托单位: Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung der Bundesagentur für Arbeit (BA)
• 依托单位国家: 德国
• 项目类别: Priority Programmes
• 财政年份: 2017
• 资助国家: 德国
• 起止时间: 2016-12-31 至 2021-12-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://gepris.dfg.de/gepris/projekt/387497439?language=en
• 关键词: Refugees; Labor; Market; Integration; Impact

In 2015, the Federal Office for Migrants and Refugees (BAMF) recorded the arrival of 890,000 refugees to Germany. Another 290,000 came in 2016. The most recent figures show that 442,000 new asylum applications were filed in 2015, and a further 722,000 in 2016 (BAMF, 2016a). This large influx of refugees is not only unprecedented in the post-war history of Germany, it also constitutes the largest human influx reported since WWII among both EU Member States and high-income countries of the OECD. This project aims to explore the impact of this refugee inflow in two parts. First, we will explore how refugees fare by investigating the role of ethnic enclaves in human capital acquisition of refugees. Second, we will explore the impact of this refugee inflow on labor market outcomes of natives. In addition to collecting primary data on refugee inflows, we will rely on two secondary data sources: (i) the IAB-BAMF-SOEP refugee sample which is the sole representative and comprehensive data set of the recent refugee inflow to Germany and (ii) monthly administrative data from the Federal Employment Agency (Bundesagentur für Arbeit) on nationals from the main countries of origin of refugees and a novel dataset created from the files on unemployed, job-seeking and benefit-recipient refugees registered by the Federal Employment Agency. Causal identification of impact of refugee inflows and refugee concentration on human capital acquisition of refugees and labor market outcomes of natives will come from plausibly exogenous refugee placement rules applied by national and state governments in Germany.

2015年，联邦移民和难民办公室（BAMF）记录了890，000名难民抵达德国。2016年又增加了29万人。最新数据显示，2015年有442，000份新的庇护申请，2016年又有722，000份（BAMF，2016 a）。如此大规模的难民潮不仅是德国战后历史上前所未有的，也是自二战以来欧盟成员国和经合组织高收入国家中最大的难民潮。本项目旨在分两部分探讨这种难民流入的影响。首先，我们将探讨难民如何通过调查难民的人力资本收购的民族飞地的作用票价。其次，我们将探讨这种难民流入对当地人劳动力市场结果的影响。除了收集有关难民流入的主要数据外，我们还将依靠两个次要数据来源：（i）IAB-BAMF-SOEP难民样本，这是最近流入德国的难民的唯一代表性和全面的数据集，以及（ii）来自联邦就业局的每月行政数据（Bundesagentur für Arbeit）关于难民主要原籍国国民的数据以及根据失业者档案创建的新数据集，在联邦就业局登记的求职和领取福利的难民。难民流入和难民集中对难民的人力资本获取和当地人的劳动力市场结果的影响的因果识别将来自德国国家和州政府适用的合理的外生难民安置规则。