When Populism meets Government: The Social Policy Impact of the Radical Right in Europe

民粹主义激进右翼政党（PRRP）的崛起在大多数欧洲民主国家都可以看到。对于这种选举转变的原因，我们拥有强有力的理论阐述，但对于它对政府活动的最大部分--福利国家--的后果，我们仍然知之甚少。这就是本研究项目要研究的内容。其主要目标是确定和解释欧洲的PRRP在政府中如何影响社会政策，即其社会政策影响。有了这个研究议程，我的目标是解决一个重大的文献空白，并有助于知情的公众辩论如何可能是我们这个时代最有活力的党派力量连接公民行使政治权力。该项目比较了奥地利自由党（Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs）、丹麦人民党（Dansk Folkeparti）、匈牙利青年民主联盟（Fidesz）和瑞士自由党（SVP）的社会政策影响。它开始从假设选民联盟和问题的突出性是中央PRRP的政策偏好。但是，PRRP可以影响政策输出的程度，根据他们的政策偏好应该取决于内阁份额和否决权的可能性的数量/强度。对（1）政策偏好和（2）政治能力之间的这种交叉的分析构成了本研究项目的理论框架。

The rise of populist radical right parties (PRRPs) can be witnessed across most European democracies. We possess powerful theoretical elaborations on the causes of this electoral shift, but we still know very little about its consequences for the largest part of government activity: the welfare state. This is what the present research project will study. Its principal objective is to identify and explain how European PRRPs influence social policies when they are in government, i.e. their social policy impact. With this research agenda I aim to address a substantial literature gap and contribute to an informed public debate about how the perhaps most dynamic partisan force of our time connects citizens to the exercise of political power. The project compares the social policy impacts of the Austrian FPÖ (Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs), the Danish DF (Dansk Folkeparti), the Hungarian Fidesz (Magyar Polgári Szövetség), and the Swiss SVP (Schweizerische Volkspartei). It starts from the assumption that voter coalitions and issue-saliences are central to the policy preferences of PRRPs. But the extent to which PRRPs can influence the policy output according to their policy preferences should rest on cabinet shares and the number/strength of veto possibilities. The analysis of this intersection between (1) policy preferences and (2) political capacities forms the theoretical framework of the present research project.