Local social capital and the rise of right-wing populism

当地社会资本与右翼民粹主义的兴起

• 批准号: 400857762
• 负责人: Professor Dr. Felix Rösel
• 金额: --
• 依托单位: Ausschuss für Bildung, Forschung und Technikfolgenabschätzung
• 依托单位国家: 德国
• 项目类别: Research Grants
• 财政年份: 2018
• 资助国家: 德国
• 起止时间: 2017-12-31 至 2022-12-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://gepris.dfg.de/gepris/projekt/400857762?language=en
• 关键词: Local; social; capital; rise; right

Western societies have seen a rapid surge in right-wing populism in past years. Studies show that particularly voters in once booming but now declining industrial "rust belts" support populist movements. In times of rapid change, strong and reliable local networks and identities (social capital), may provide solidarity and eliminate the breeding ground for populism. However, if associations such as sports clubs are closely knit and exclusive, they may also breed and spread populism even more rapidly. Evidence is utterly scarce, especially when it comes to causal effects. This project aims at investigating the relationship of social capital and right-wing populism. I propose to exploit quasi-natural experiments in several European countries using modern econometric identification strategies (difference-in-differences estimations, fuzzy and sharp regression discontinuity design, and instrumental variable approach).In the end, five closely connected papers would provide a comprehensive and causal evidence-based answer to the yet underexplored question whether social capital is able to channel both democratic but also anti-democratic tendencies in Western societies.

过去几年，西方社会右翼民粹主义迅速崛起。研究表明，特别是曾经繁荣但现在衰落的工业“锈带”的选民支持民粹主义运动。在快速变化的时代，强大和可靠的地方网络和身份（社会资本）可以提供团结，消除民粹主义的滋生地。但是，如果体育俱乐部等协会组织紧密，排他性强，也可能更快地滋生和传播民粹主义。证据是完全稀缺的，特别是当涉及到因果关系的影响。本研究旨在探讨社会资本与右翼民粹主义的关系。我建议利用准自然实验在几个欧洲国家使用现代计量经济学识别策略（差异中差异估计，模糊和尖锐回归不连续设计，以及工具变量方法）。最后，五个紧密相连的文件将提供一个全面的和因果的证据为基础的答案，但尚未充分探讨的问题，社会资本是否能够渠道既民主，但也反-西方社会的民主倾向。

项目成果

Forced Migration, Staying Minorities, and New Societies: Evidence from Post-war Czechoslovakia

强迫移民、留下的少数群体和新社会：来自战后捷克斯洛伐克的证据

• DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3808454
• 发表时间: 2021
• 期刊: International Political Economy: Migration eJournal
• 作者: Grossmann;Š. Jurajda;F. Roesel
• 通讯作者: F. Roesel

Taxation Under Direct Democracy

直接民主下的税收

• DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3882366
• 发表时间: 2021
• 期刊: CESifo: Public Finance (Topic)
• 作者: Geschwind;F. Roesel
• 通讯作者: F. Roesel