An Inter-regional Trade Model based on I/O and Price Equilibrium Framework

基于I/O和价格均衡框架的区域间贸易模型

• 批准号: 06650597
• 负责人: MIZOKAMI Shoshi
• 金额: $ 1.09万
• 依托单位: Kumamoto University (1995)Kyushu Tokai University (1994)
• 依托单位国家: 日本
• 项目类别: Grant-in-Aid for General Scientific Research (C)
• 财政年份: 1994
• 资助国家: 日本
• 起止时间: 1994 至 1995
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://kaken.nii.ac.jp/en/grant/KAKENHI-PROJECT-06650597/
• 关键词: freight demand; inter-regional I; O; applied general equilibrium analysis; 産業連関分析; 一般均衡; 空間価格均衡

This model seems to be useful in predicting inter-regional freight demands in conditions of open and short-term equilibrium, that is to say, 1) the final demand is given by another econometric model exogenously and 2) there is no change in industrial and residential location. The traditional simple models of transportation demand and land use for casting originated by analogy from results of other research fields. The most recent models have undergone improvements which combine behavioral analysis and the equilibrium theory. It is certain that practical interregional freight demand forecasting models must be trace such a path. In this sense, the present model may come to mark the first step in this direction. This model, however, can only provide tentative theoretical and practical conclusions. From a theoretical aspect, we must make it consistent with the economic theory on the behavior of firm and general equilibrium analysis in great detail. From a practical aspect, it is necessary to raise the reliability of our model by improving the database system and individual partial models. And finally, we have to carry out the feasibility analysis for the intercity highway construction projects which may change patterns of inter-regional freight flow on a great scale as far as we evaluate its availability.

该模型对于在开放和短期均衡条件下预测区域间货运需求似乎是有用的，即1)最终需求由另一个计量经济模型外生给出，2)工业和居住区位不变。传统的铸造业交通需求和土地利用的简单模型源于对其他研究领域成果的类比。最新的模型经过了改进，将行为分析和均衡理论结合在一起。可以肯定的是，实用的区域间货运需求预测模型必须跟踪这样的路径。从这个意义上说，目前的模式可能标志着朝着这个方向迈出了第一步。然而，该模型只能提供尝试性的理论和实践结论。在理论方面，我们必须使其与经济学关于企业行为的理论和一般均衡分析非常详细地保持一致。从实际应用的角度来看，有必要通过完善数据库系统和个别局部模型来提高模型的可靠性。最后，对可能在很大程度上改变区域间物流格局的城际公路建设项目进行可行性分析，评价其可行性。

项目成果

溝上章志: "産業間の連関性と空間的な価格均衡を考慮した物資流動モデル構築の試み" 土木学会論文集. 494. 53-61 (1994)

Akira Mizokami：“尝试构建考虑产业间联系和空间价格均衡的物质流模型”，日本土木工程师学会汇刊 494. 53-61 (1994)。

Shoshi Mizokami: "An Inter-regional Trade Model cosidering I/O Frame and Price Equihbrium" Selected Proceedings of 7th WCTR. 7(forthcoming). (1996)

Shoshi Mizokami：“考虑I/O框架和价格均衡的跨区域贸易模型”第七届WCTR论文集选。

溝上章志: "産業間の連関性と空間的な価格均衡を考慮した物資流動モデル構築の試み" 土木学会論文集. 494/IV-24. 53-61 (1994)

Akira Mizokami：“尝试构建考虑产业间联系和空间价格均衡的物质流模型”，日本土木工程师学会汇刊 494/IV-24 (1994)。

溝上章志: "土木計画学における均衡概念と応用一般均衡(AGE)分析" 土木計画学研究・論文集. 11. 29-40 (1993)

Akira Mizokami：“土木工程规划中的平衡概念和应用一般平衡 (AGE) 分析”土木工程规划研究和论文。11. 29-40 (1993)

Shoshi MIZOKAMI: "An Inter-regional Trade Model considering I/O Frame and Price Equilibrium" Selected Proceedings of 7th WCTR. No.7 (forthcoming).(1996)

Shoshi Mizokami：“考虑 I/O 框架和价格均衡的区域间贸易模型”第七届 WCTR 论文集选。