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Comparative Analysis of Consumption Behavior in East Asia : Qualitative Study with Household Micro Data

东亚消费行为比较分析：家庭微观数据的定性研究

基本信息

批准号：
16530144
负责人：
MOVSHUK Oleksandr
金额：
$ 2.11万
依托单位：
University of Toyama
依托单位国家：
日本
项目类别：
Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)
财政年份：
2004
资助国家：
日本
起止时间：
2004 至 2005
项目状态：
已结题

项目摘要

Movshuk studied the life-cycle hypothesis of consumption behavior, particularly how age affects household savings. He suggested a new non-parametric approach to identify the age effect on savings, and applied the approach to micro data in Japan, the United States, England, Italy and Taiwan, and Thailand. Compared with results from traditional approaches to identify the age effect, the new approach produced estimates that were in more agreement with the life-cycle theory.Horioka researched consumption and saving behavior by using the micro data for Japan, and obtained three major results. First, the saving behavior showed negative savings for individuals who were in the old age and retired. Second, the Japanese saving rate is no longer as high as it was in the past ; besides, the household debt is growing rapidly. Third, during the prolonged recession in the 1990s, the stagnant private consumption greatly worsened the business conditions, and complicated the implementation of economic policies in Japan.Sawada used panel data for Korean households, and studied how monetary crises affected household consumption. The study found that households coped with increased risk by reducing private transfers and the consumption of luxury goods. Sawada also analyzed why poverty declined in the Philippines during the 1990s, and found that this can be explained not by differences in land assets, but by the variation in the human capital and in non-agricultural income.Nomura verified the liquidity constraint by using Japanese micro data, and found that household loans are affected by various life events (such as marriage, childbirth, children's education), making it important to include such events in the standard life-cycle theory.Yamashita's research focused on income disparities and poverty in East Asian economies after the Asian financial crises, and on effects from social security policies to reduce the negative consequences of the financial crisis.

Movshuk研究了消费行为的生命周期假设，特别是年龄如何影响家庭储蓄。他提出了一种新的非参数方法来确定年龄对储蓄的影响，并将该方法应用于日本、美国、英国、意大利和台湾以及泰国的微观数据。与传统的年龄效应识别方法相比，新方法得出的结果更符合生命周期理论。堀冈用日本的微观数据研究了消费和储蓄行为，得出了三个主要结果。第一，老年人和退休人员的储蓄行为表现为负储蓄。第二，日本的储蓄率已不像过去那么高，而且家庭债务正在迅速增加。第三，在20世纪90年代的长期经济衰退中，由于私人消费的停滞，企业经营状况恶化，经济政策的实施变得复杂。泽田用韩国家庭的面板数据，研究了货币危机对家庭消费的影响。研究发现，家庭通过减少私人转移和奢侈品消费来应对增加的风险。泽田还分析了90年代菲律宾贫困率下降的原因，发现这不是土地资产的差异，而是人力资本和非农业收入的变化。野村利用日本的微观数据验证了流动性约束，发现家庭贷款受到各种生活事件的影响（如结婚、生育、子女教育），因此将这些事件纳入标准的生命周期理论非常重要。山下的研究重点是亚洲金融危机后东亚经济体的收入差距和贫困问题，以及社会保障政策对减少金融危机负面影响的影响。