Evaluation of Road Pricing by Travel Behavior Model with Fuzzy Logic

模糊逻辑出行行为模型评价道路定价

• 批准号: 16560460
• 负责人: AKIYAMA Takamasa
• 金额: $ 1.86万
• 依托单位: Gifu University
• 依托单位国家: 日本
• 项目类别: Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)
• 财政年份: 2004
• 资助国家: 日本
• 起止时间: 2004 至 2005
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://kaken.nii.ac.jp/en/grant/KAKENHI-PROJECT-16560460/
• 关键词: ravel behavior analysis; fuzzy reasoning; soft-computing technique; time and space constraint; evaluation of transport policy; congestion pricing; artificial life approach; machine learning; 時空間卸約

The study focuses on the change of travel behaviors corresponding to the installation of road pricing. The fuzzy travel behavior model is proposed with the sequential estimation process for the reaction of trip maker to the transport policy and the daily travel pattern production. The model may have the advantages to estimate the trip pattern with human fuzziness. Therefore, the different types of impact would be realized from the travel pattern analysis. The fuzzy travel behavior model is designed with the sequential estimation process to describe the travel pattern in road pricing installation. In particular, the options of trip maker are determined to summarize the reactions to transport policy. Since the perception of trip maker can be formulated with fuzzy logic, the decision of individual trip maker might be easily analyzed through the estimation process. Another advantage of fuzzy logic formulation is realized as well in the process of model calibration. The reactions of trip maker to road pricing can be summarized statistically. The road pricing for commuting time period on the central area is assumed as an example case. Modal shift is regarded as the largest effect of road pricing. Similarly, the change of travel route is observed as the second largest effect on urban network. The scale of overall effect can be measured as the number of individuals with selecting alternative options in proportion to the value of congestion toll. The changes in travel pattern can be discussed connecting to the options for road pricing. As the travel pattern is generated with accumulating trips between daily activities, the travel behavior description model with sequential estimation is applied. The impact of road pricing can be described as individual change of travel pattern to show the indirect influence to the existing trips before road pricing installations.

本文主要研究道路收费制度实施后，居民出行行为的变化。提出了模糊出行行为模型，并对出行者对交通政策的反应和日常出行模式的产生进行了序贯估计。该模型在考虑人类因素的出行模式估计方面具有一定的优势。因此，不同类型的影响将实现从旅行模式分析。采用序贯估计方法建立了模糊出行行为模型，用以描述道路收费系统中的出行模式。特别是，出行者的选择是确定的，以总结对交通政策的反应。由于出行者的感知可以用模糊逻辑来表达，因此通过估计过程可以很容易地分析个体出行者的决策。模糊逻辑公式化的另一个优点也在模型校准过程中实现。出行者对道路收费的反应可以用统计学的方法来概括。以中心区通勤时段的道路收费为例进行了分析。交通方式的改变被认为是道路收费的最大影响。同样，出行路线的变化被视为对城市网络的第二大影响。总体效果的规模可以通过选择替代方案的个人数量与拥堵费价值的比例来衡量。交通模式的变化可以联系道路收费的选择来讨论。由于出行模式是由日常活动之间的累积出行产生的，因此应用了具有序贯估计的出行行为描述模型。道路收费的影响可以描述为个体出行模式的变化，以显示在道路收费实施之前对现有出行的间接影响。

项目成果

Evaluation of Bus Lane Policy by Microscopic Simulation Model

微观仿真模型评价公交专用道政策

• 发表时间: 2005
• 期刊: Proceedings of the 4th ITS Symposium 2005
• 作者: Madhu Errampalli;Masashi Okushima;Takamasa Akiyama
• 通讯作者: Takamasa Akiyama

Time Series Analysis of Travel Behavior with Spatial Information

空间信息出行行为时间序列分析

• 发表时间: 2005
• 期刊: Infrastructure Planning Review Vol.22
• 作者: Noriyuki Izumi;Masashi Okushima;Takamasa Akiyama
• 通讯作者: Takamasa Akiyama

Microscopic Simulation Model Considering Public Transport Policy

考虑公共交通政策的微观仿真模型

• 发表时间: 2005
• 期刊: Journal of Eastern Asia Society for Transportation Studies Vol.5
• 作者: Madhu Errampalli;Masashi Okushima;Takamasa Akiyama
• 通讯作者: Takamasa Akiyama

Integrated Estimation of Traffic Flow with Fuzzy Modal Choice Model

模糊模态选择模型的交通流量综合估计

• 发表时间: 2005
• 期刊: Proceedings of the 11th International Fuzzy Systems Association World Congress Vol. 1
• 作者: Takamasa Akiyama;Masashi Okushima
• 通讯作者: Masashi Okushima

Second-Best Congestion Pricing in Urban Space : Cordon Pricing and Its Alternatives

城市空间中的次优拥堵定价:警戒线定价及其替代方案

• 发表时间: 2004
• 期刊: The Review of Network Economics Vol. 3
• 作者: Takamasa Akiyama;Se-il Mun;Masashi Okushima
• 通讯作者: Masashi Okushima