Evaluation of Road Pricing by Travel Behavior Model with Fuzzy Logic

模糊逻辑出行行为模型评价道路定价

• 批准号: 16560460
• 负责人: AKIYAMA Takamasa
• 金额: $ 1.86万
• 依托单位: Gifu University
• 依托单位国家: 日本
• 项目类别: Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)
• 财政年份: 2004
• 资助国家: 日本
• 起止时间: 2004 至 2005
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://kaken.nii.ac.jp/en/grant/KAKENHI-PROJECT-16560460/
• 关键词: ravel behavior analysis; fuzzy reasoning; soft-computing technique; time and space constraint; evaluation of transport policy; congestion pricing; artificial life approach; machine learning; 時空間卸約

The study focuses on the change of travel behaviors corresponding to the installation of road pricing. The fuzzy travel behavior model is proposed with the sequential estimation process for the reaction of trip maker to the transport policy and the daily travel pattern production. The model may have the advantages to estimate the trip pattern with human fuzziness. Therefore, the different types of impact would be realized from the travel pattern analysis. The fuzzy travel behavior model is designed with the sequential estimation process to describe the travel pattern in road pricing installation. In particular, the options of trip maker are determined to summarize the reactions to transport policy. Since the perception of trip maker can be formulated with fuzzy logic, the decision of individual trip maker might be easily analyzed through the estimation process. Another advantage of fuzzy logic formulation is realized as well in the process of model calibration. The reactions of trip maker to road pricing can be summarized statistically. The road pricing for commuting time period on the central area is assumed as an example case. Modal shift is regarded as the largest effect of road pricing. Similarly, the change of travel route is observed as the second largest effect on urban network. The scale of overall effect can be measured as the number of individuals with selecting alternative options in proportion to the value of congestion toll. The changes in travel pattern can be discussed connecting to the options for road pricing. As the travel pattern is generated with accumulating trips between daily activities, the travel behavior description model with sequential estimation is applied. The impact of road pricing can be described as individual change of travel pattern to show the indirect influence to the existing trips before road pricing installations.

该研究的重点是与道路定价安装相对应的旅行行为的变化。提出了模糊的旅行行为模型，该模型是针对行程制造商对运输策略和日常旅行模式生产的顺序估计过程提出的。该模型可能具有通过人类模糊性估算旅行模式的优势。因此，从旅行模式分析中可以实现不同类型的影响。模糊的旅行行为模型的设计采用顺序估算过程，以描述道路定价安装中的旅行模式。特别是，Trip Maker的选择决定总结对运输政策的反应。由于可以使用模糊逻辑来制定Trip Maker的感知，因此可以通过估计过程轻松分析单个Trip Maker的决定。模型校准的过程也实现了模糊逻辑公式的另一个优点。可以从统计学上总结旅行制造商对道路定价的反应。假定中央区域上通勤时间的道路定价是一个例子。模态转移被认为是道路定价的最大效果。同样，旅行路线的变化也被视为对城市网络的第二大影响。总体效应的尺度可以衡量为具有与拥塞损失价值成比例的选择替代选项的个体数量。可以讨论连接到道路定价选项的旅行模式的变化。由于旅行模式是在日常活动之间产生的旅行，因此应用了带有顺序估计的旅行行为描述模型。道路定价的影响可以描述为单独的旅行模式变化，以表明在道路定价安装之前对现有旅行的间接影响。

项目成果

Evaluation of Bus Lane Policy by Microscopic Simulation Model

微观仿真模型评价公交专用道政策

• 发表时间: 2005
• 期刊: Proceedings of the 4th ITS Symposium 2005
• 作者: Madhu Errampalli;Masashi Okushima;Takamasa Akiyama
• 通讯作者: Takamasa Akiyama

Time Series Analysis of Travel Behavior with Spatial Information

空间信息出行行为时间序列分析

• 发表时间: 2005
• 期刊: Infrastructure Planning Review Vol.22
• 作者: Noriyuki Izumi;Masashi Okushima;Takamasa Akiyama
• 通讯作者: Takamasa Akiyama

Microscopic Simulation Model Considering Public Transport Policy

考虑公共交通政策的微观仿真模型

• 发表时间: 2005
• 期刊: Journal of Eastern Asia Society for Transportation Studies Vol.5
• 作者: Madhu Errampalli;Masashi Okushima;Takamasa Akiyama
• 通讯作者: Takamasa Akiyama

Second-Best Congestion Pricing in Urban Space : Cordon Pricing and Its Alternatives

城市空间中的次优拥堵定价:警戒线定价及其替代方案

• 发表时间: 2004
• 期刊: The Review of Network Economics Vol. 3
• 作者: Takamasa Akiyama;Se-il Mun;Masashi Okushima
• 通讯作者: Masashi Okushima

Integrated Estimation of Traffic Flow with Fuzzy Modal Choice Model

模糊模态选择模型的交通流量综合估计

• 发表时间: 2005
• 期刊: Proceedings of the 11th International Fuzzy Systems Association World Congress Vol. 1
• 作者: Takamasa Akiyama;Masashi Okushima
• 通讯作者: Masashi Okushima