Modelling the Dynamics of Urban Passenger Travel Activity of Seniors in an Ageing Population

人口老龄化中老年人城市旅客出行活动动态建模

• 批准号: DP0449548
• 负责人: Prof David Hensher
• 金额: $ 17.8万
• 依托单位: The University of Sydney
• 依托单位国家: 澳大利亚
• 项目类别: Discovery Projects
• 财政年份: 2004
• 资助国家: 澳大利亚
• 起止时间: 2004-05-27 至 2006-12-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://dataportal.arc.gov.au/RGS/Web/Grants/DP0449548
• 关键词: Modelling; Dynamics; Urban; Passenger; Travel

Seniors in an ageing population (SAPS) are a significant and growing segment of the population. As (relatively) cash rich and time poor, they have very high expectations in respect of levels of accessibility and mobility required from the transport system, as well as from other supporting networks. We currently lack policy-rich travel demand models to assist in understanding the complex dynamics that influence the travel activities of SAPS. Using ideas from stated choice methods, interactive agency choice experiments, panel econometrics and behavioural discrete choice models we propose a research program designed to understand these demands. Special focus is given to support networks and the ways in which these impact on the demand for car and public transport use, as well as meeting the access needs to health-support and leisure facilities and to supporting networks of family and friends.

老龄化人口中的老年人（SAPS）是人口中重要且不断增长的一部分。 由于（相对）现金充裕但时间匮乏，他们对交通系统以及其他支持网络所需的可达性和流动性水平抱有很高的期望。我们目前缺乏政策丰富的旅行需求模型来帮助理解影响 SAPS 旅行活动的复杂动态。利用陈述选择方法、交互式机构选择实验、面板计量经济学和行为离散选择模型的想法，我们提出了一个旨在理解这些需求的研究计划。特别关注支持网络以及这些网络对汽车和公共交通使用需求的影响方式，以及满足健康支持和休闲设施以及支持家人和朋友网络的需求。