Detecting and attributing biodiversity trends – drivers of past and future population and community dynamics in North American breeding birds (DEBTs)
检测和归因生物多样性趋势——北美种禽过去和未来种群和群落动态的驱动因素(DEBT)
基本信息
- 批准号:518316503
- 负责人:
- 金额:--
- 依托单位:
- 依托单位国家:德国
- 项目类别:Research Grants
- 财政年份:
- 资助国家:德国
- 起止时间:
- 项目状态:未结题
- 来源:
- 关键词:
项目摘要
The key aim of DEBTs is to develop and operationalise a new process-explicit ensemble model framework to detect, attribute and project biodiversity trends. This framework will allow disentangling the importance of abiotic and biotic drivers on observed biodiversity changes to make more robust biodiversity predictions under scenarios of global change. DEBTs will focus on a 50-year time series of North American breeding bird counts as a unique long-term and geographically broad data set, which provides an ideal test case for comparing multi-model performance on historic data and for quantifying transient dynamics from recent environmental change and resulting future colonisation credits and extinction debts. Explicit uncertainty assessments will pinpoint important sources of uncertainty and help guide future monitoring efforts. An international research workshop with leading scientists in the field will synthesise the results gained from the case study and will develop an agenda for implementing regional terrestrial biodiversity model intercomparisons across taxonomic groups and regions.
债务的关键目标是开发和实施一种新的过程--显式集合模型框架,以检测、确定和预测生物多样性趋势。这一框架将有助于理清非生物和生物驱动因素对观察到的生物多样性变化的重要性,以便在全球变化的情况下做出更可靠的生物多样性预测。Debt将专注于北美繁殖鸟类数量的50年时间序列,作为一个独特的长期和地理范围广泛的数据集,这为比较历史数据的多模型表现以及量化最近环境变化和由此产生的未来殖民信用和灭绝债务的瞬时动态提供了理想的测试案例。明确的不确定性评估将查明不确定性的重要来源,并有助于指导未来的监测工作。该领域主要科学家参加的国际研究讲习班将综合从个案研究中获得的结果,并将制定一项议程,以便在分类组和区域之间实施区域陆地生物多样性模型相互比较。
项目成果
期刊论文数量(0)
专著数量(0)
科研奖励数量(0)
会议论文数量(0)
专利数量(0)
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Professorin Dr. Damaris Zurell其他文献
Professorin Dr. Damaris Zurell的其他文献
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{{ truncateString('Professorin Dr. Damaris Zurell', 18)}}的其他基金
Disentangling the effects of demography, dispersal and biotic interactions on population and community response to global change (BIOPIC)
理清人口学、扩散和生物相互作用对人口和社区对全球变化的反应的影响 (BIOPIC)
- 批准号:
333890902 - 财政年份:2017
- 资助金额:
-- - 项目类别:
Independent Junior Research Groups
Invaders on the move – niche and spread dynamics of introduced alien plants in the Pacific (NichePac)
移动中的入侵者——太平洋引进外来植物的生态位和传播动态(NichePac)
- 批准号:
505288495 - 财政年份:
- 资助金额:
-- - 项目类别:
Research Grants
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