Co-operative Research on Model Analyses for Regional Investment.

考虑到公共部门和私营部门之间的公平伙伴关系，必须在有限的地方预算中规划有效的投资。到目前为止，已经为地方投资规划开发了各种类型的区域模型。本研究旨在从投资效应扩散机制的角度回顾各种区域模型，并探讨它们在区域投资政策分析中的适用性。(1)区域经济循环中的投资效应地方公共部门通过创造当地就业和需求，似乎在区域经济循环中发挥着重要作用。我们经常会遇到区域发展效应和财政效应之间严重权衡的难题，特别是当我们控制公共部门的时候。然而，到目前为止，大多数区域模型只指出了发展效应，没有成功地分析财政效应。(2)模型理论和实践的最新进展。区域计量经济模型的历史或其他行为…我们回顾了更多的AL模型，并介绍了它们的数学结构。根据考虑的投资和效应扩散机制，每个模型都有自己的数学结构。LISREL模型成功地基于偏好数据和行为结果数据建立了隐含结构模型，具有广泛的适用性。(3)大都市区的模型。在大都市区，重建是城市变化的一大部分。因此，必须对库存或供应商的行为进行分析。我们介绍了适用于这种供给侧分析的模型。非大都市区的模式。在非大都市区，基于区域内存在的小功能，存在着各种限制。我们引入了区域非均衡模型来解释这些限制。提出了基于非均衡性的参数估计方法。(5)模型应用时的其他问题。为了获得更广泛的适用性，我们还对其他问题进行了讨论。从不同角度讨论了数据约束和估计技术、模型分析中的风险和大型项目的困难。较少

Effective investment must be planned in restricted local budget, considering fair partnership between public sector and private sector. Various types of regional models were developed for local investment planning until now. This study aims to review a various types of regional models from the view point of investment effect spreading mechanism, and to discuss the applicability of them to regional investment policy analysis.(1) Investment Effects in Regional Economic CirculationLocal public sector seems to play important role in regional economic circulation, by producing local employments and demands. We meet usually the difficult problem induced to severe trade-off between regional development effect and fiscal effect, especially when we control public dept. However, most of regional models to date pointed out development effect only, do not succeed to analyze fiscal effect.(2) Recent Development of Modeling Tbeory and Practice.History of regional econometric models or other behavior … More al models are reviewed and we pick up their mathematical structures. Each of those models have it's own mathematical structure depending on the considering investment and effect-spreading mechanism. LISREL modelling has wide applicability because it succeeds to model implicit structure based on preference data and behavioral result data.(3) Models for Metropolitan Areas.In metropolitan area, redevelopments have large part of urban change. Therefore, stocks or supplier's behavior must be analyzed. We introduce models suitable for such supply-side analysis. Furthermore, office firm location or fiduciary contract project are discussed.(4) Models for Non-metropolitan Areas.In non-metropolitan areas, there are various restrictions based on small functions existing in the region. We introduce regional disequilibrium modeling to explain such restrictions. Parameter estimating methods are also suggested based on disequilibrium property.(5) Other Topics When Models Are Applied.We also discussed other topics in order to get wider applicability. Data restriction and estimation techniques, risks in model analysis, and difficulties of large scale projects are discussed from various points of view. Less