Co-operative Research on Model Analyses for Regional Investment.

有效的投资必须在有限的地方预算中规划，考虑到公共部门和私营部门之间的公平伙伴关系。到目前为止，各种类型的区域投资规划模型被开发出来。本研究旨在从投资效应扩散机制的角度对各类区域模型进行综述，并探讨其在区域投资政策分析中的适用性。(1)区域经济循环中的投资效应地方公共部门在区域经济循环中发挥着重要作用，为当地创造就业和需求。我们经常会遇到区域发展效应与财政效应严重权衡的难题，特别是在我们控制公共部门的时候。然而，迄今为止的大多数区域模型都只指出了发展效应，而没有成功地分析财政效应。(2)建模理论与实践的最新进展。区域计量经济模型或其他行为的历史…更多的模型被回顾，我们挑选他们的数学结构。每一种模型都有自己的数学结构，这取决于所考虑的投资和效应扩散机制。LISREL模型成功地建立了基于偏好数据和行为结果数据的隐式结构模型，具有广泛的适用性。(3)都市圈模式。在大都市地区，再开发占城市变化的很大一部分。因此，必须分析库存或供应商的行为。我们引入了适合这种供给侧分析的模型。此外，还讨论了办公公司选址或信托合同项目。(4)非都市地区模式。在非大都市地区，基于该地区现有的小功能，存在各种限制。我们引入区域不平衡模型来解释这些限制。提出了基于不平衡特性的参数估计方法。(5)应用模型时的其他主题。我们还讨论了其他主题，以获得更广泛的适用性。从不同的角度讨论了数据限制和估计技术、模型分析中的风险以及大型项目的困难。少

Effective investment must be planned in restricted local budget, considering fair partnership between public sector and private sector. Various types of regional models were developed for local investment planning until now. This study aims to review a various types of regional models from the view point of investment effect spreading mechanism, and to discuss the applicability of them to regional investment policy analysis.(1) Investment Effects in Regional Economic CirculationLocal public sector seems to play important role in regional economic circulation, by producing local employments and demands. We meet usually the difficult problem induced to severe trade-off between regional development effect and fiscal effect, especially when we control public dept. However, most of regional models to date pointed out development effect only, do not succeed to analyze fiscal effect.(2) Recent Development of Modeling Tbeory and Practice.History of regional econometric models or other behavior … More al models are reviewed and we pick up their mathematical structures. Each of those models have it's own mathematical structure depending on the considering investment and effect-spreading mechanism. LISREL modelling has wide applicability because it succeeds to model implicit structure based on preference data and behavioral result data.(3) Models for Metropolitan Areas.In metropolitan area, redevelopments have large part of urban change. Therefore, stocks or supplier's behavior must be analyzed. We introduce models suitable for such supply-side analysis. Furthermore, office firm location or fiduciary contract project are discussed.(4) Models for Non-metropolitan Areas.In non-metropolitan areas, there are various restrictions based on small functions existing in the region. We introduce regional disequilibrium modeling to explain such restrictions. Parameter estimating methods are also suggested based on disequilibrium property.(5) Other Topics When Models Are Applied.We also discussed other topics in order to get wider applicability. Data restriction and estimation techniques, risks in model analysis, and difficulties of large scale projects are discussed from various points of view. Less