权益分类	功能权益	普通用户	{{item.name}}会员
{{category.name}}	{{benefitItem.name}}

Simulation Analysis of Japanese Agriculture Using Mixed Integer Dynamic Programming Model

日本农业的混合整数动态规划模型仿真分析

基本信息

批准号：
07559014
负责人：
KOHNO Hirotada
金额：
$ 2.56万
依托单位：
Tokiwa University (1996)University of Tsukuba (1995)
依托单位国家：
日本
项目类别：
Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (A)
财政年份：
1995
资助国家：
日本
起止时间：
1995 至 1996
项目状态：
已结题

来源：
https://kaken.nii.ac.jp/grant/KAKENHI-PROJECT-07559014/
关键词：
Home Pages of Products Information Mixed Integer Programming Model Planning of Small Agricultural Village Flexible Land Utilization Sent directly from the place where it was grown Transfer of Agri-area to Securities Central Wholesale Market

项目摘要

We intend to derive drastic and dynamic prescriptions for the problem of "To what direction we should orient and adjust the Japanese agriculture, " which is considered in a framework of the market economy, coping with the Deregulation policy, i.e., the curre nt trend of thought in the economic policy.The Japanese agriculture now is confronted with the edge of a cliff by the urgent and strong demand from foreign countries, above all, U.S.A.of the trade (import) liberalization of rice, which so far, has been the perfectly self-supporting staple food.The problem of how to make Japanese agriculture coping with the import liberalization of rice is the problem whether to be able to farm under such circumstances or not. This research was done simulation of agricultural management program to dynamic development for small rural village, in case of Asoda area, Saita-town, Kagawa-prefecture. By using the simulation model, the optimal development program of agricultural management was obtained and the effectiveness of 1) the drastical structural reform plan of a rable lan dand 2) the group utilization scheme of all the land in aregion are investigated.In section 2, the simulation model for agricultural management program based on Mixed Integer Dynamic Linear Programming was presented. In section 3, the simulation model in case of Asoda was specified, and the results of simulation are estimated. From the results of simulation, a way that agricultural management under the market mechanism should be was shown.

我们打算针对市场经济框架下考虑的“日本农业向什么方向定位和调整”的问题，应对放松管制政策，即当前经济政策的思潮，得出激烈而有力的方案。由于外国，尤其是美国对贸易（进口）的迫切而强烈的需求，日本农业现在面临着悬崖边缘。大米自由化，迄今为止，大米已经是完全自给自足的主粮。日本农业如何应对大米进口自由化，就是在这种情况下能否耕种的问题。本研究以香川县斋田町阿田地区为例，对小村庄动态发展的农业管理计划进行了模拟。利用仿真模型得出了农业经营的最优发展方案，并考察了1）农田结构改革方案和2）区域内所有土地的分组利用方案的有效性。第二节提出了基于混合整数动态线性规划的农业经营规划仿真模型。在第3节中，指定了Asoda情况下的仿真模型，并对仿真结果进行了估计。从模拟结果出发，揭示了市场机制下农业经营的应有之道。