Analysis of the Organizational Decline Mechanism and Turnaround Strategies

本研究的目的是分析日本大企业的组织衰退过程，并提出应对衰退类型的扭亏为盈策略。为了达到这个目的，我们实施了以下分析步骤。提出的关于衰退的组织或起源和过程的假设。应用破产预测模型（Altman & Zavgren模型）。讨论了该模型的理论可行性。设计并实施了对所有日本上市公司的问卷调查。对组织衰退类型进行了分类。比较了Zavgren模型和衰退类型。制定应对衰退类型的周转策略。该问卷由160封邮件组成，被发送给1988家日本大公司。212年回应道。问卷由企业概况、企业伦理、企业战略和组织行为四个部分组成。除了这个问卷之外，我们还采访了成长中的风险投资公司和财务状况不佳的更新公司的经理，询问成功的重要因素。在这些访谈的基础上，我们对问卷结果进行多元统计分析，确定哪些因素与组织衰退有关，哪些因素对实现更新很重要。我们将基本分析结果发表在《经济评论》杂志上，题为《组织衰退机制和周转战略分析》。

The purpose of this research is to analyze the organizational decline process of the Japanese big business an to propose turnaround strategies which respond to the types of decline. To accomplish this purpose, we implemente the following analytical steps.1. Proposed assumptions of the organizational or igins and process of the decline.2. Applied a bankruptcy forecasting model (Altman and Zavgren model).3. Discussed the theoretical availability of this model.4. Designed and implemented a questionnaire survey of all the Japanese companies listed in stock market.5. Developed a classification of the organizational decline types.6. Compared the Zavgren model and decline types.7. Developed turnaround strategies which respond to the decline types.The questionnaire was composed of 160 ltems was sent to 1988 big Japanese companies. 212 responded. Questionnaire were composed of general condition of the firm, business ethics, strategies, and organizational behavior. In addition to this questionnaire, we interviewed managers in the growing venture bus iness and renewal company from the wrong financial condition to ask about the important factors to success.Besed on these inteviews, we analyzed the questionnaire results using multivariate statistical analysis We confirmed which factors relate to the organizational decline and which factors were important to accmplish renewal. We have presented the fundamental analytical results in the journal of 'Keizai keiei Ronso' as 'Analysis of the organiztional Decline Mechanism and Turnaround Strategies.'