A Panel Analysis of Shopping Activity and Travel Linkages and Their Relations to Spatial Destination Pattern of the SC Visitors

本文以购物综合体SC为研究对象，探讨SC游客购物活动和旅游联系的基本特征。本研究项目最重要的特点之一是在整个分析过程中使用了Kofu购物者面板数据：(1)首先，利用纵向数据集实证检验了非工作日的活动和出行联系以及时间和空间约束。(2)为了识别供应链游客的空间分布，建立了考虑社会经济环境变化的购物目的地选择模型。(3)小组流失模型可以用来解释在接下来的小组浪潮中，个体如何倾向于退出。这些模型被应用于修正购物目的地选择决策背后的自然减损偏差。(4)从1989年到1996年包含8次浪潮的科孚购物面板可以完成，并对科孚购物面板的未来研究方向进行了展望。

In this paper, a shopping complex denoted as SC is focused on for the purpose of exploring basic characteristics of shopping activity and travel linkages by the SC visitors. The one of the most important features of this research project is that Kofu shopper panel data are used in the whole of the following analysis : (1) First, the activity and travel linkages on non-workdays and, temporal and spatial constraints were empirically examined using the longitudinal data sets. (2) In order to identify spatial distribution of the SC visitors, a shopping destination choice model was developed by taking the changes of socio-economic environment into consideration. (3) Panel attrition models could be proposed to explain how individuals tend to drop out in the following panel wave. The models were applied to correcting the attrition biases underlying the shopping destination choice decision. (4) Also, Kofu shopper panels which contain 8 waves from 1989 to 1996 could be completed and the future directions of Kofu shopper panels research are also suggested.