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Asian Financial Crisis and Macro Economic Policy Response

亚洲金融危机与宏观经济政策应对

基本信息

批准号：
11CE2002
负责人：
YOSHINO Naoyuki
金额：
$ 424.36万
依托单位：
Keio University
依托单位国家：
日本
项目类别：
Grant-in-Aid for COE Research
财政年份：
1999
资助国家：
日本
起止时间：
1999 至 2003
项目状态：
已结题

来源：
https://kaken.nii.ac.jp/grant/KAKENHI-PROJECT-11CE2002/
关键词：
Asian Financial Crisis Infrastructure Population Problem Macroeconomic Policy Foreign Exchange Rate Regime Non Performing Loans Asian Capital Market Fiscal Investment and Loan Program 金融危機債券市場アジア経済金融資本市場マクロ経済分析為替政策バスケット通貨

项目摘要

Asian financial Crisis hit Thailand in 1997 and its contagion spread to Indonesia and Korea. Revelarization of the capital market together with virtually fixed exchange rate system brought infugion of overseas capital and sudden withdraws from Asian countries.Optimal exchange rate regimes were compared by use of Thai data and the basket currency system with optimal weight gives us one of the best solutions to the model. Capital control policy sometimes works when the economy is heavily influenced by export and import, furthermore the fluctuations of the exchange rate is too large by use of Malaysian data.Collection of small savings is also an important issue in Asean countries and the efficient mobilization of domestic savings for economic development is also important. Postal savings system and the fiscal investment and loan program were carefully analyzed.Infrastructure investment is crucial in economic development. Central and local distribution of infrastructure developments are compared by use of Asean data. Measure of the effectiveness of the public investment was computed for Asia and the introduction of the revenue bond is suggested.How to strengthen banking industry and how to reduce NPL (non performing loans) are studied in the project. Collection of local information and the data collections are required to further strengthen bank loans to small business.Industrial locations and their agglomeration in China are carefully examined by interviews ; Its merits were analyzed.

1997年，亚洲金融危机袭击了泰国，并蔓延到印度尼西亚和韩国。资本市场的再开放和实质上的固定汇率制度带来了海外资本的外逃和亚洲国家的突然撤离，利用泰国的数据对最优汇率制度进行了比较，最优权重的篮子货币制度为模型提供了最佳解之一。当经济受到进出口的严重影响时，资本管制政策有时会起作用，而且根据马来西亚的数据，汇率波动过大。收集小额储蓄也是东盟国家的重要问题，有效动员国内储蓄促进经济发展也很重要。对邮政储蓄体制和财政投融资方案进行了认真分析，基础设施投资在经济发展中起着至关重要的作用。通过使用东盟数据，比较了基础设施发展的中央和地方分布。计算了亚洲公共投资有效性的衡量标准，并建议引入收入债券。该项目研究了如何加强银行业以及如何减少不良贷款（不良贷款）。为了进一步加强银行对小企业的贷款，需要收集当地的信息和数据。通过访谈，仔细考察了中国的工业区位及其集聚，分析了其优点。