Study of contingent judgment and decision making process in social environments

社会环境中的或然判断与决策过程研究

• 批准号: 13610115
• 负责人: TAKEMURA Kazuhisa
• 金额: $ 2.18万
• 依托单位: Waseda University (2002)University of Tsukuba (2001)
• 依托单位国家: 日本
• 项目类别: Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)
• 财政年份: 2001
• 资助国家: 日本
• 起止时间: 2001 至 2002
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://kaken.nii.ac.jp/grant/KAKENHI-PROJECT-13610115/
• 关键词: social judgment; decision making; social environment; mathematical model; psychological model; representation theorem; fuzzy data analysis; 判断; 状況依存性; 価値; 確率

Contingent judgment and decision-making can be observed in our social lives. The purpose of this study is to examine contingent judgment and decision making process in social environments using several psychological methods, and to make psychometric models, mathematical models, and representation theorems for the predictions of judgment and decision phenomena. First, we found basic types of social situations and contexts of judgment and decision-making using social survey research and interview methods. Second, we found qualitative and quantitative properties of contingent judgment and decision-making in social environments using several psychological experiments. Third, we found qualitative properties of cognitive process in contingent judgment and decision-making using process-tracing techniques in psychological experiments. Fourth, based on the empirical findings through experiments and social survey, we made psychometric models and mathematical models to describe contingent judgment and decision-making. Finally, we found representation theorems of some mathematical models. These findings have been reported at international and domestic academic meetings. Some of the findings have been published in academic journals and books.

在我们的社会生活中，可以观察到偶然的判断和决策。本研究的目的是运用多种心理学方法考察社会环境中的权变判断和决策过程，并为判断和决策现象的预测建立心理测量学模型、数学模型和表征定理。首先，运用社会调查研究和访谈的方法，找出了社会情境的基本类型和判断决策的情境。其次，通过几个心理学实验，我们发现了社会环境中或有判断和决策的定性和定量特征。第三，运用心理学实验中的过程追踪技术，发现了权变判断和决策中认知过程的定性特征。第四，根据实验和社会调查的实证结果，建立了描述权变判断和决策的心理测量模型和数学模型。最后，我们发现了一些数学模型的表示定理。这些发现已在国际和国内学术会议上发表。其中一些发现已经发表在学术期刊和书籍上。

项目成果

Fujii, S., Takemura, K. & Kikkawa, T.: "Decision making rules and consensus formation"Japanese Journal of Civil Engineering. No. 79. 13-26 (2002)

藤井，S.，竹村，K.

Nakamura, Y.: "Semimetric thresholds for finite posets"Mathematical Social Sciences. 44. 37-43 (2002)

Nakamura, Y.：“有限偏序集的半度量阈值”数学社会科学。

若山大樹, 竹村和久: "態度と社会的規範の曖昧性を考慮した消費者の行動意図予測"感性工学研究論文集. 2. 65-72 (2002)

Daiki Wakayama、Kazuhisa Takemura：“考虑态度和社会规范的模糊性来预测消费者行为意图”《关西工程研究杂志》2. 65-72 (2002)。

藤井聡, 竹村和久, 吉川肇子: "「決め方」と合意形成:社会的ジレンマにおける利己的動機の抑制にむけて"土木学会論文集. 709. 13-26 (2002)

Satoshi Fujii、Kazuhisa Takemura、Haiko Yoshikawa：“决策和共识建设：抑制社会困境中的自私动机”日本土木工程师学会会议记录 709. 13-26 (2002)。

Nakamura Yutaka: "Real interval representations"Journal of Mathematical Psychology. 46. 140-177 (2002)

中村丰：“实区间表示”数学心理学杂志。