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Comprehensive Research of World Preventive Diplomacy

世界预防外交综合研究

基本信息

批准号：
14252003
负责人：
KIKKAWA Gen
金额：
$ 18.39万
依托单位：
Kobe University
依托单位国家：
日本
项目类别：
Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (A)
财政年份：
2002
资助国家：
日本
起止时间：
2002 至 2004
项目状态：
已结题

来源：
https://kaken.nii.ac.jp/grant/KAKENHI-PROJECT-14252003/
关键词：
preventive diplomacy conflict peace building diplomacy Africa Middle East Europe 紛争予防

项目摘要

As a result of three years research of comparative study of preventive diplomacy world wide, we have found the following : First, the international regime of preventive diplomacy in Europe is most advanced and, in fact, has successfully prevented arms conflicts in many cases. Second, although the international regime of preventive diplomacy is on the process of construction in Africa, we have found that the regime is not effective in preventing new wars and preventing resurgence of conflicts in failed states. Third, we have found no serious international attempt at preventing international conflicts in the Middle East, although there are serious signs of conflicts over water resources. Fourth, although it appears peaceful at a glance, we have found symptoms of resurgence of armed conflicts in the future in most cases of post-conflict areas. The apparent peaceful order and success of peace building in most of the cases are in fact due to the presence of international multi-army, and particularly so with the cases of post-conflict areas of multi-ethnic country. This implies that the post-conflict peace building of liberal market internationalism has been unsuccessful in its entirety, and that preventive diplomacy is more needed to prevent ethnic internal conflicts. The best achievement in our research is that we have found the differing degree of institutionalization of preventive diplomacy and the differing causes of armed conflicts depending on the areas. Thus we must continue to find the best preventive measures applicable to the area concerned.

经过三年的世界预防性外交比较研究，我们发现：第一，欧洲预防性外交的国际机制是最先进的，在许多情况下成功地防止了武器冲突。第二，尽管预防性外交的国际机制在非洲正在建设过程中，但我们发现，该机制在防止新的战争和防止失败国家重新爆发冲突方面并不有效。第三，我们没有发现防止中东国际冲突的认真国际努力，尽管有严重迹象表明在水资源问题上存在冲突。第四，虽然乍看起来很和平，但在大多数冲突后地区，我们已经发现了未来武装冲突死灰复燃的迹象。在大多数情况下，表面上的和平秩序和和平建设的成功实际上是由于国际多国部队的存在，特别是在多民族国家的冲突后地区。这意味着，自由市场国际主义的冲突后和平建设总体上是不成功的，更需要预防性外交来防止种族内部冲突。我们研究的最好成果是，我们发现预防性外交的制度化程度不同，武装冲突的起因也因地区而异。因此，我们必须继续寻找适用于有关地区的最佳预防措施。