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The Policy Space of the "Lost Decade": Exploring Japanese election promises in 1990s

“失去的十年”的政策空间：探索20世纪90年代日本的选举承诺

基本信息

批准号：
14520097
负责人：
SHINADA Yutaka
金额：
$ 1.92万
依托单位：
Kobe University
依托单位国家：
日本
项目类别：
Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)
财政年份：
2002
资助国家：
日本
起止时间：
2002 至 2004
项目状态：
已结题

来源：
https://kaken.nii.ac.jp/grant/KAKENHI-PROJECT-14520097/
关键词：
election promises policy party politicians Japan politics

项目摘要

We made the dataset of candidates' electoral pledges in 1990s Japanese general elections and executed factor analyses using the percent data of contents and targets, which Japanese politicians had promised.(1)We can extract two dimensions : total-partial and distributive-redistributive, and suppose four areas, (a) pork barrels (partial and distributive), (b) welfare (partial and redistributive), (C) ideology (total and redistributive), and (d) reform (total and distributive).(2)In 1990, local benefit-oriented LDP faced with oppositions, in which ideological Socialists were distinguished from parties eager to individual interests as welfare problems (Communists and Komei-Tou).(3)The hottest issue of 1993 was "reforms" of 1955 regime. Suddenly, the new national policy area was found, and all parties rushed there. Symbolic parties of this change were newcomers and defectors from LDP. The two major parties showed relatively small motions.(4)Two levels competitions were contested in 1996. The agenda of more popular one, which LDP, New Frontier Party and Democrats battled, was national reforms about various subjects. The other minor one was ideological.(5)The formation and fall of the Hosokawa coalition government can be explained by policy positions of parties. But next LDP-Socialists-Sakigake coalition required another reason.

我们制作了20世纪90年代日本大选候选人竞选承诺的数据集，并使用日本政治家承诺的内容和目标的百分比数据进行了因子分析。(1)We可以提取两个维度：总体-部分和分配-再分配，并假设四个领域，（a）猪肉桶（部分和分配），（B）福利（部分和再分配），（C）意识形态（总体和再分配），（d）改革（总体和分配）。(2)In 1990年，以地方利益为导向的自民党面临着反对，其中意识形态的社会主义者与渴望个人利益作为福利问题的政党（共产党和公明党）区分开来。（3）1993年最热门的话题是“改革”1955年政权。突然间，新的国策区被发现，各方都冲了过去。这一变化的象征性政党是自民党的新成员和叛逃者。两个主要政党提出了相对较小的动议。（4）1996年，两个级别的比赛。自民党、新国家党和民主党争夺的更受欢迎的议程是关于各种主题的国家改革。另一个小问题是意识形态问题。（5）细川联合政府的形成和垮台可以用政党的政策立场来解释。但下一个自民党-社会党-Sakigake联盟需要另一个理由。