Modeling of Confrontation and Conflict by Synthesizing Mathematical and Simulation Approach

综合数学和模拟方法对对抗和冲突进行建模

• 批准号: 17510117
• 负责人: KIJIMA Kyoichi
• 金额: $ 1.8万
• 依托单位: Tokyo Institute of Technology
• 依托单位国家: 日本
• 项目类别: Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)
• 财政年份: 2005
• 资助国家: 日本
• 起止时间: 2005 至 2007
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://kaken.nii.ac.jp/grant/KAKENHI-PROJECT-17510117/
• 关键词: Confrontation; Conflict; Mathematical model; Simulation model; Modeling

The mission of this research project id two-fold : The first is to investigate validity of synthesis of mathematical and simulation approaches to confrontation and conflict, extremely incorporate decision situation. We are trying to conceptualize such situation in a formal way. The second is to propose a unified framework in which we could discuss process and structure of confrontation and conflict.Under such mission we developed innovative models by combining mathematical/analytical models with simulation models. Indeed, based on recent investigation hypergame model, dramatic model and landscape model, we could propose an innovative model and gave presentations on the results.At the same time we conducted an empirical research confrontation in Citarum River basin in Indonesia, involving some local researchers. We identify sever confrontation among various stakeholders like local governments, central governments, lower stream industries, upper stream habitants/farmers and so on. To deal with the problem, we developed DtDA (Drama-theoretic Dilemma Analysis) and, applying it, we proposed some realistic recommendations for resolving the conflicts.

该研究项目的任务有两个：首先是研究对抗和冲突的数学和模拟方法综合的有效性，并充分考虑决策情况。我们正在尝试以正式的方式概念化这种情况。第二是提出一个统一的框架，在这个框架中我们可以讨论对抗和冲突的过程和结构。在这个任务下，我们通过将数学/分析模型与模拟模型相结合来开发创新模型。确实，基于最近研究的超博弈模型、戏剧模型和景观模型，我们可以提出一个创新的模型，并展示结果。同时，我们在印度尼西亚Citarum河流域进行了实证研究对抗，包括一些当地的研究人员。我们发现地方政府、中央政府、下游产业、上游居民/农民等各个利益相关者之间存在严重对抗。为了解决这个问题，我们开发了 DtDA（戏剧理论困境分析），并应用它，我们提出了一些解决冲突的现实建议。

项目成果

Mixed Extension of Hypergames and Applications to Inspection Games

超级博弈的混合扩展和检验博弈的应用

• 发表时间: 2007
• 期刊: Proceedings of the 51st Annual Meeting of the International Society for the Systems Sciences
• 作者: Yasuo Sasaki;Norimasa Kobayashi and Kyoichi Kijima
• 通讯作者: Norimasa Kobayashi and Kyoichi Kijima

Contingent Framework for Supporting Participatory Decision Making

支持参与决策的条件框架

• 发表时间: 2005
• 期刊: International Journal of Knowledge and Systems Sciences 2・1
• 作者: Konno;N.;Kijima;K.;Kyoichi Kijima
• 通讯作者: Kyoichi Kijima

ポイント提携の有用性のモデル分析

点联盟效用模型分析

• 发表时间: 2007
• 作者: 酒井陽祐;木嶋恭一
• 通讯作者: 木嶋恭一

Holistic Formal Analysis of Dilemmas of Negotiation

谈判困境的整体形式分析

• 发表时间: 2007
• 期刊: Proceedings of the 51st Annual Meeting of the International Society for the Systems Sciences
• 作者: Takafumi;Nakamura;Kyoichi;Kijima;Takafumi Nakamura and Kyoichi Kijima;Hermawan Pri and Kyoichi Kijima
• 通讯作者: Hermawan Pri and Kyoichi Kijima

Foundation of Subjective Confrontation Analysis

主观对抗分析基础

• 发表时间: 2006
• 期刊: Proceedings of the 50th Annual Meeting of the International Society for the Systems Sciences 1
• 作者: Hermawan;P.;Kijima.K.
• 通讯作者: Kijima.K.