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Explorations on the "ratio bias" paradox in decision making

Explorations on the "ratio bias" paradox in decision making
决策中“比率偏差”悖论的探索
批准号:
18330154
负责人:
YAMAGISHI Kimihiko
金额:
$11.27万
依托单位国家:
日本
项目类别:
Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B)
财政年份:
2006
资助国家:
日本
项目状态:
已结题
起止时间:
2006 至 2009

项目摘要

项目成果

YAMAGISHI Kimihiko的其他基金

相关文献

中文摘要
翻译
“比率偏差”指的是人类心理学中的一种系统性逻辑反常。当她关于百分比的大小判断与关于组合整数的分数的逻辑等价判断不一致时,一个人就会表现出比率偏差。山西(1997年)的S的实验参与者在被告知癌症致死的“10000人中有1286人”比被告知“百人中有24.14人”时,对癌症风险的评价更危险。本研究旨在建立解释这些现象的理论框架,并为风险沟通提供应用处方。这一理论名为“双重韦伯-费克纳理论”,发表在随后的列表中的第4期期刊上。在文章4的延伸中讨论沟通研究的论文包括论文1、3和4。它们还继承了第6、7和8条所阐述的关于言语沟通的见解。最后,文章2提供了癌症患者和医生之间的风险沟通设置的应用工作。从而完成了研究提案阶段的目标。
英文摘要
"The ratio bias" denotes a systematic logical anomaly in human psychology. One exhibits a ratio bias whenever her magnitude judgments pertaining to percentages show inconsistencies with logically equivalent judgments pertaining to fractions by combined integers. Yamagishi (1997)'s experimental participants rated risk of cancer as more dangerous when instructed that cancer kills "1286 people out of 10000" than when told "24.14 out of 100." This research program aimed at establishing theoretical framework to explain such phenomena, as well as providing applied prescription for risk communication. The theory, "dual Weber-Fechner Theory," appeared in journal the article 4 in the subsequent list. Papers discussing communication research in extension of the article 4 include papers 1, 3, and 4. They also inherit insights in verbal communications set forth by articles 6, 7, and 8. Finally, the article 2 offers applied work in the setting of risk communication between cancer patients and medical practitioners. Thusly this investigation accomplished the objectives in the research proposal stage.
期刊论文(0)
专著(0)
科研奖励(0)
会议论文
Zero-risk tolerance and "risk acceptance" of four different medical activities: Delivery vs. treatment.
四种不同医疗活动的零风险容忍度和“风险接受”:交付与治疗。
DOI: --
发表时间: 2008
期刊:
影响因子: --
作者: [Hirahara, N., Yamagishi, K., Wada, C.]
通讯作者: C.
DOI: --
发表时间: 2007
期刊:
影响因子: --
作者: [Nakamura, K., & Yamagishi, K]
通讯作者: K
The directionality of verbal probability phrases: What communicative function does it perform?
言语概率短语的方向性:它执行什么交际功能?
DOI: --
发表时间: 2007
期刊:
影响因子: --
作者: [Honda, H., Yamagishi, K]
通讯作者: K
Which is more probable--25%+25%or40%+10%? : Effect of the distribution of focal outcomes on gut-level perception of certainty
哪个%20是%20更多%20可能--25%+25%还是40%+10%?%20:%20效果%20of%20the%20分布%20of%20焦点%20结果%20on%20直觉水平%20感知%20of%20确定性
DOI: --
发表时间: 2006
期刊: Proceedings of the 28th Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society (CD-Rom)
影响因子: --
作者: [Kuninori Nakamura, Kimihiko Yamagishi]
通讯作者: Kimihiko Yamagishi
42
    Constructing patient-centered risk-optimism scale and treatment selection technique through cancer patient surveys across the U.K., the U.S., and Japan.
    • 批准号:
      22530790
    • 项目类别:
      Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)
    • 资助金额:
      $2.66万
    • 财政年份:
      2010
    • 负责人:
      YAMAGISHI Kimihiko
    • 依托单位:
    Modeling Congnitive Processes under Preference Reversals between Joint and Separate Evaluations.
    • 批准号:
      16500160
    • 项目类别:
      Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)
    • 资助金额:
      $2.3万
    • 财政年份:
      2004
    • 负责人:
      YAMAGISHI Kimihiko
    • 依托单位:
    Modeling effects of subjective probability expressions on decision making
    • 批准号:
      14510093
    • 项目类别:
      Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)
    • 资助金额:
      $1.86万
    • 财政年份:
      2002
    • 负责人:
      YAMAGISHI Kimihiko
    • 依托单位: