Quantitative Economic Analysis on Food Price Increase and LDC's correspondences

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In this study, we analyze the prospect of food production increase in this area under the high grain price hike by the quantitative economic model and water resource model. The possibility of income increase of poor people and the poverty reduction are also discussed. During this project, we estimated Input output tables for Cambodia and Lao, which data are indispensable for our study. Using these data, we analyze structure of industrial and international trade, then took some consideration on the relation between these structure and the stage of economic development. In addition, we clarify the impact of productivity in agricultural sector by constructing international applied general equilibrium model of the region. Productivity increase in agricultural sector is important for improving food production as well as the overall economic development in these area. We also made certain that water supply in this area will not be short of in future, but may cause quality problem of water with increasing agricultural production and the change in life style due to the economic development.