Quantitative study on the Rice Acreage Reduction Program and its alternative policies : An political economy approach 8,用紙番号, 1175198

稻米减产计划及其替代政策的定量研究：政治经济学方法 8，论文编号，1175198

• 批准号: 21580267
• 负责人: ARAHATA Katsumi
• 金额: $ 3.16万
• 依托单位: Gifu University
• 依托单位国家: 日本
• 项目类别: Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)
• 财政年份: 2009
• 资助国家: 日本
• 起止时间: 2009 至 2011
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://kaken.nii.ac.jp/grant/KAKENHI-PROJECT-21580267/
• 关键词: 米生産調整政策; 米生産調整; 直接支払; 未達成; 農地流動化; 米輸出; 選択制減反; 政治過程; 厚生分析; 政治過程分析

According to the government publications, the nominal rate of the Rice Acreage Reduction Program is approximately 40%. In this study, field surveys and direct interviews were conducted in each prefecture and selcted villages, and a real rate of the RARP were estimated. It is estimated that only 10% is the real rate of the acreage reduction and a predited increase of the rice production when the acreage reduction program would be abolished is only 4. 2%. In this case, the decrease of the rice price is estimated as 13. 4%. In order to abolish the program without turbulence, an appropriate income compensational measure is needed. It is estimated that a fixed direct payment of ￥2500/60kg with the 50% degree of decoupling could sustain producers' surplus as the present level and require the government an expense of only 384 billion yen.

根据政府出版物，水稻种植面积减少方案的名义比率约为40%。本研究通过对各都道府县和选定的农村进行实地调查和直接访谈，估计了农村退休人员的真实的比例。据估计，只有10%是真实的减产率，当取消减产计划时，水稻产量的预期增长只有4。百分之二在这种情况下，大米价格的下降估计为13。百分之四为了在不引起社会动荡的情况下取消这一计划，需要采取适当的收入补偿措施。据估计，固定的直接支付2500日元/60公斤与50%的脱钩度可以维持生产者的盈余作为目前的水平，只需要政府的费用为3840亿日元。

项目成果

How didexternal pressures change Japan's protectionist farm policies, from the Uruguay Round to TPP?: A Surplus Transformation Curve(STC) analysis

从乌拉圭回合到TPP，外部压力如何改变日本的保护主义农业政策？：盈余转化曲线（STC）分析

• 发表时间: 2011
• 期刊: The American Agricultural Economics Association 2011 Annual Conference(Pittsburgh)
• 作者: Khal Mohammad Ahmadzai;Takashi Toyoda;Katsumi Arahata
• 通讯作者: Katsumi Arahata

米減反政策へのレントシーキング的接近

美国减耕政策的寻租方式

• 发表时间: 2010
• 作者: Khal Mohammad Ahmadzai;Takashi Toyoda;Katsumi Arahata;藤田幸一;Katsumi Arahata;豊田隆;Takashi TOYODA;荒幡克己;豊田隆;荒幡克己
• 通讯作者: 荒幡克己

How did external pressures change Japan's protectionist farm policies, from the Uruguay Round to TPP? : A Surplus Transformation Curve (STC) analysis

从乌拉圭回合到TPP，外部压力如何改变日本的保护主义农业政策？

• 发表时间: 2011
• 期刊: The American Agricultural Economics Association 2011 Annual Conference (Pittsburgh), Selected paper
• 作者: Khal Mohammad Ahmadzai;Takashi Toyoda;Katsumi Arahata;藤田幸一;Katsumi Arahata
• 通讯作者: Katsumi Arahata

米政策の長期動向と余剰変形曲線分析

美国政策长期趋势及盈余变形曲线分析

• 发表时间: 2010
• 作者: Khal Mohammad Ahmadzai;Takashi Toyoda;Katsumi Arahata;藤田幸一;Katsumi Arahata;豊田隆;Takashi TOYODA;荒幡克己
• 通讯作者: 荒幡克己

減反40年と日本農業

40年的面积减少与日本农业

• 发表时间: 2012
• 作者: Toyoda;Takashi;伊庭治彦;荒幡克己;松本武祝;荒幡克己
• 通讯作者: 荒幡克己