Effect of depopulation on regional housing and its industry

点击翻译按钮获取中文摘要

A system-dynamics model using statistical data has been developed to analyze the relation between ongoing demographic change and indexes representing housing and housing activities. In regard to depopulating regions, the findings include such facts as a) new house building will decrease drastically, b) vacant house ratio will rise to higher level, eventually leading to the fact that c) average life of houses will be extended paradoxically, d) miss-matching of housing demand and supply between regions will further be accelerated and e) maintaining housing stock will be fatally difficult due to the declining local housing industry.