Disapperarance of surplus labor in agriculture and changes in income inequality: an analysis using individual farm survey data

我们研究了印度尼西亚各省发展阶段的变化，并试图从中研究长期的发展过程。这种变化将产生一个长期的时间序列数据，作为一个整体，使我们能够看到她的经验。印度尼西亚的收入不平等自1999年以来一直在扩大，而且还没有看到任何改善的迹象。但我们对真实的农业工资率、农业工人的边际生产率和各省贫困家庭份额的分析表明，巴厘岛已经过了劳动力的转折点。 劳动力过剩到劳动力短缺的经济。它的收入不平等开始下降后，它通过了转折 点本文的分析表明：第一，在经济发展的初期，收入不平等会恶化。其次，它将继续恶化，直到经济度过转折点。最后，在经济度过转折点后，它开始改善。

We looked at a variation in provincial development phases of Indonesia and tries to investigate a long-run development process from it. The variation will generate a long-run time series data for the provinces as a whole and enable us to look at her experiences.Income inequality in Indonesia has been widening since 1999 and any sign of its improvement has not seen yet. But our analysis of real agricultural wage rates, marginal productivities of agricultural worker and shares of the poor household by province indicate that Bali passed already the turning point from labor surplus to labor shortage economy. Its income inequality started to decline after it passed the turning point. Our analysis shows as follows: Firstly income inequality will deteriorate at an early stage of eco-nomic development. Secondly it will keep deteriorating until an economy passes the turning point. Finally it starts to improve after an economy passes the turning point.